Felix Auger Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier
ATP - ATP Montpellier
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Stan Wawrinka of Switzerland is set to take on the big gun in Montpellier, battling the No.1 seed, Felix Auger-Aliassime, in the second round on Thursday.
Recommended Pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime Under 12.5 Games
Potential Payout: $210 for every $100 Bet (+110).
Current Form:
Wawrinka continues to produce some fine play in the final year of her illustrious tennis career, earning another top-100 win over Hamad Medjedovic of Serbia in the first round of the 2026 Open Occitanie, 7-6, 6-4. Wawrinka, who improved to 4-5 in the season, held 10 of 11 service games after winning 83 percent of his first serves. The Swiss also broke Medjedovic twice in the second set, staving off a potential fightback from the Serb.
Auger-Aliassime is set to play his first match since retiring from his match against Nuno Borges of Australia in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open because of a calf injury. An indoor hard-court specialist, Aliassime boasts a 69.6 percent win rate in this type of playing condition and won 17 out of 22 indoor matches in 2025.
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Stan Wawrinka Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 5, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup
Nov 15, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Nov 14, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 12, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 10, 2025 - ATP Finals
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 4, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Jan 24, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - United Cup
Felix Auger Aliassime - Stan Wawrinka Key Points
- Felix Auger-Aliassime boasts a 69 percent career win rate in indoor matches.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime will be playing his first match since injuring his calf at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Stanislas Wawrinka has a 3-5 record against the ATP top-100 in 2026.
- Stanislas Wawrinka carries a 55 percent win rate in indoor matches.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Felix Auger-Aliassime disposes Stanislas Wawrinka 6-3, 6-3
The result of this match will heavily depend on the status of Auger-Aliassime’s calf injury. If he has fully recovered from the injury he suffered at the Australian Open, the Canadian should have no problem shaking off Wawrinka, who is 0-3 in his last three matches against the ATP top-10. Aliassime is winning 74.4 percent of his first serves and averaging 7.3 aces per match. These numbers don’t augur well for Wawrinka, who has only converted 19.4 percent of 67 breakpoint chances across 9 matches this season.
Our betting prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stanislas Wawrinka: Felix Auger-Aliassime Under 12.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
