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by Bradley Gibbs in Major League Soccer Picks
On Sunday evening, Inter Miami's quest for MLS Cup glory continues. The men who follow the lead of Lionel Messi will travel to take on Cincinnati in the MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference Semifinals. Having smashed the Nashville boys to bits last time out, winning by a thunderous four goals to zero, the Miami boys should turn up in Ohio feeling confident, though they'll need to be a little more at the races than they were when last playing on the road, that's for sure.
The hosts come into this game having ground it out against the Columbus Crew, winning their best-of-three series by two games to one, defeating the Crew 2-1 in front of a home crowd most recently. Home is definitely where the heart is for the Orange and Blue, who are very, very tough to beat at TQL Stadium. An interesting game awaits.
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FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Form
FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Nov 2, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 2, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2025 - Leagues Cup
FC Cincinnati against Inter Miami : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Aug 24, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Oct 7, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2023 - US Open Cup
FC Cincinnati - Inter Miami: Form Analysis
As touched on above, in recent times, the hosts really have known how to get down to business on home soil, where they've won each of their last three, scoring six goals and conceding just one in the process. They're scoring goals, dominating games and crucially, not giving much away. The question is can they continue to do these things against the Herons?
The Inter Miami boys will arrive at TQL Stadium off the back of a confidence-boosting win, but that win came at home, where the Herons are at their best. Away from home, things haven't gone as well, with Sunday's visitors losing three of their last six road games in all competitions.
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Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
M. Miazga
B. Smith
FC Cincinnati & Inter Miami Squad Analysis
The hosts don't have too many injury concerns to worry about ahead of this game. Matt Miazga is questionable, while defender Brad Smith has been ruled out with a muscle issue. The in-form Brenner is expected to continue partnering the destructive Kevin Denkey up top, while creator-in-chief Evander will continue to pull the strings.
For the visitors, there are a couple of fitness doubts. David Ruiz is not yet expected too return from a hamstriing injury, while Ryan Sailor is also sidelined. Realistically, though, the Herons will be at full strength, with Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, Rodrigo De Paul, Sergio Busquets, Jordi Alba and Tadeo Allende all expected to start.
Most goals and assists
FC Cincinnati - Inter Miami Key Points
- Lionel Messi comes into this fixture having registered an assist last time out.
- Lionel Messi has produced an assist in 57% of his MLS games in 2025.
- Lionel Messi has also recorded six assists in his last six MLS appearances.
- No player has registered more assists per 90 minutes than Lionel Messi in Major League Soccer this season.
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Our FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Prediction
Sure, Messi's main contribution in 2025 has been his frequent supply of goals, but let's not forget that the Argentine legend has also been one of Major League Soccer's finest providers, registering no fewer than 16 assists, averaging 0.59 assists per 90 minutes.
Quite simply, the man who has six assists in his last six appearances, has provided an assist more regularly than the odds here suggest that he has. In other words, there's value on offer to those willing to take odds of +240.
Our Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Pick: Lionel Messi 1+ Assists.
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami - Other Interesting Picks
Lionel Messi to Score 2 or More Goals
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FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami match : Frequently asked questions
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