Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Everton
3/21/26 13:30
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Everton to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

One of Saturday's four English Premier League games presents Everton with an offensive opportunity that is perhaps greater than the early odds suggest. The Toffees will be up against a Chelsea team that has had less time to rest and prepare ahead of this game, a Chelsea team that will be low on defensive confidence having taken a battering from UCL giants PSG on Tuesday. 

Sure, the hosts came unstuck against league leaders Arsenal last weekend, but this home game is clearly an easier assignment, and let's face it, we are talking about an Everton team scored that twice when last playing at home. Similarly, the Blues have been struggling to keep things tight at the back away from home in recent times, conceding ten goals in their last four away games in all competitions. When these two met earlier in the seasoon, David Moyes' men created plenty, which also points towards them enjoying themselves in the final third on Saturday. 

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Everton vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Chelsea
52 38 14 10 14 +6
13 Everton
49 38 13 10 15 -3

Everton and Chelsea Latest Matches

Everton
Everton Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Everton

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

Feb 23, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton
D D D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley

Feb 23, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Sunderland

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Wolves
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Everton

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Everton

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Everton
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea
W W D D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Burnley

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
West Ham

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Pafos FC
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 13, 2026 - FA Cup

Hull
0 :  4
Chelsea

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Chelsea

Everton against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

17 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Dec 22, 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Chelsea

Apr 15, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
6 :  0
Everton

Dec 10, 2023 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 18, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Everton

Everton against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Everton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Pickford
15
J. O'Brien
6
J. Tarkowski
5
M. Keane
16
V. Mykolenko
37
J. Garner
27
I. Gueye
7
D. McNeil
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
10
I. Ndiaye
9
Beto
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
10
C. Palmer
25
M. Caicedo
45
R. Lavia
3
M. Cucurella
21
J. Hato
29
W. Fofana
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Everton
Everton
Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

S. Coleman

N. Patterson

Midfielder

M. Rohl

I. Ndiaye 89'

T. Iroegbunam

K. Dewsbury-Hall 89'

J. Branthwaite

D. McNeil 78'

H. Armstrong

Forward

T. Barry

Beto 81'

T. Dibling

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

T. Sharman-Lowe

Defender

M. Sarr

J. Acheampong

T. Adarabioyo

M. Caicedo 78'

Midfielder

D. Essugo

A. Santos

R. Lavia 57'

Forward

L. Delap

Joao Pedro 78'

A. Garnacho

M. Gusto 46'

Estevao

P. Neto 71'

Missing players

Everton
Everton
Midfielder

J. Grealish

C. Alcaraz

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

Forward

M. Mudryk

J. Gittens

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Everton
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Guinea-Bissau Beto (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (15 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Garner (7 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (6 Assists)

Everton - Chelsea Key Points

  1. When the teams met earlier in the season, Everton created some big chances.
  2. The hosts scored two goals in their most recent home EPL game.
  3. The Blues have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four games.
  4. The visitors have had less time to rest and prepare ahead of this game, which could have negative defensive effects.
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Our Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

There's been plenty to like about the way that the Toffees have played offensively in recent weeks. Having scored three goals against Newcastle, Moye's men followed up by notching twice in their last home game, while they really should be licking their lips at facing a Chelsea team lacking in confidence and rest.

The Blues endured a tough game during the week, while they've given lots away in general of late. In other words, I've got this down as a better opportunity for the hosts to score a few goals than the early odds would have us believe. 

Our Everton vs Chelsea Pick: Everton to Score Over 1.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Everton to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Everton vs Chelsea Picks