ATP - ATP US Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP US Open Picks
Booked as -1400 favorite, Taylor Fritz of the United States begins his US Open campaign against compatriot Emilio Nava in the first round on Sunday.
Fritz -6.5 games is currently a hot pick in the spread market, as tennis and bookmakers expect last year’s US Open finalist to steamroll his less experienced opponent.
Fritz entered the 2025 US Open with high expectations of another prolific run in Flushing Meadows. The American reached the semifinal of the 2025 Canadian Open and the round of 16 at Cincinnati, where he was stunned by the giant-killing Terrence Atmane of France. Despite not reaching the final of both ATP 1000 events, sportsbooks have still put Fritz among the darkhorse contenders at the US Open, just a tier below heavy favorites Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.
Nava has put together a decent US Open preparation, reaching the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open and the second round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open. Nava pushed Karen Khachanov to the limit in their thrilling three-set match in Toronto 6-7(6) 6-4 6-1. A week later, Nava managed to hold his ground in another notable losing effort against Fritz 6-4 6-4.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Emilio Nava vs Taylor Fritz Form
Emilio Nava and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 8, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 31, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Aug 5, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Aug 3, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Emilio Nava against Taylor Fritz : Head to Head (H2H)
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Emilio Nava - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Taylor Fritz is 21-8 on the hard court in 2025.
- Taylor Fritz is the 2025 US Open finalist.
- Emilio Nava reached the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Emilio Nava is 8-6 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Emilio Nava vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Taylor Fritz will not lose this match. I also guarantee that Emilio Nava will not go down without a fight. Fritz is widely expected to make another deep run in his favorite Grand Slam, months after making it to his first semifinal appearance at Wimbledon. He might not win any title during his pre-US Open campaign, but he did just enough to get himself in a position to succeed in the Grand Slam event.
On the other hand, Nava has also made a strong impression with his runs in Canada and Cincinnati. His performance in a losing effort against Karen Khachanov and Fritz highlights his caliber and potential at 23 years old. Although I can’t see Nava beating Fritz anytime soon, I am really bullish about his chance to take a few games from Fritz and cover +6.5 Games, which still yields a competitive payout at -115.
Our betting prediction for Emilio Nava vs. Taylor Fritz: Emilio Nava +6.5 Games.
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