Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Fresh off a breezy win over Caty McNally, Elena Rybakina targets another huge win.
The former SW19 champion looks to destroy a 5.5-game handicap against Elise Mertens in the third round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
Current Form:
Elena Rybakina cruised to a 6-1, 6-2 win over Caty McNally to reach the third round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open. The former champion at All England Club has only faced 11 points and dropped only two service games so far in the tournament.
Elise Mertens will try to test the current world’s No.2 as she’s also coming off with two solid wins over Laura Siegemund 6-2, 6-4 and Maria Timofeeva 2-6, 6-3, 6-0. Mertens is 5-3 on grass in 2026, winning 70.3 percent of her first serves and converting 46.4 percent of breakpoints.
The Matchup: Rybakina boasts a 7-1 head-to-head series lead on Elise Mertens. Although Saturday’s match will mark their first encounter on grass, Rybakina is looking like a sharp pick to cover a lot of games if she can replicate her form against McNally.
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Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina Form
Elise Mertens and Elena Rybakina Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 22, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 15, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 18, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 12, 2026 - WTA London - Queen's
Jun 12, 2026 - WTA London - Queen's
May 27, 2026 - WTA French Open
Elise Mertens against Elena Rybakina : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jan 26, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Aug 11, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jun 1, 2024 - WTA French Open
Jan 4, 2024 - WTA Brisbane
Mar 27, 2023 - WTA Miami
Elise Mertens - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Elena Rybakina is 41-16 on grass.
- Elena Rybakina is 7-1 vs. Elise Mertens.
- Elise Mertens is 1-3 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
- Elise Mertens is 2-4 in third-round matches in 2026.
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Our Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Elena Rybakina blasts Elise Mertens 6-3, 6-3
The Difference Maker: Apart from winning all but one of eight head-to-head matches against Mertens, Rybakina seems to have rediscovered her potent service form after conceding only two service games so far in this tournament.
This is huge for Rybakina, who was broken three times by Alexandra Eala in her first grass-court match this year in Berlin. Rybakina, in her top form, will always be a nightmare for any opponent in this women’s singles draw.
What to Expect: Rybakina, who demolished Elise Mertens 6-1, 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open earlier this year, will once again bank on her serves to deliver another dominant win over the Belgian.
Our betting prediction for Elena Rybakina vs. Elise Mertens: Elena Rybakina -5.5 Games (Alt Game Spread)
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