ATP - Stockholm Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Elias Ymer of Sweden looks to take his Cinderella run in Stockholm into the semifinal round as he takes on former top-10 Denis Shapovalov of Canada at the 2025 ATP Stockholm.
Ymer, who stunned Jacob Fearnley in the second round, is still a heavy underdog for this match at +320.
Current Form:
Ranked 243rd in the world, Ymer advanced to his first ATP main tour quarterfinals this year after stunning Jacob Fearnley of Great Britain 6-2, 6-2. Ymer, who eliminated his younger brother Mikael in the previous round 6-2, 7-6, won 80 percent of his first serves to hold all his service games. He also broke Fearnley four times after collecting 25 return points. Ymer improved his career indoor hard-court record to 87-78.
Shapovalov survived a testy challenge from Leo Borg 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 in the second round of the 2025 ATP Stockholm. Shapovalov fired seven aces and broke Borg seven times to avoid an early-round meltdown in this indoor event. The Canadian boasts an undefeated record of 6-0 in indoor matches in 2025. Earlier this year, Shapovalov ruled the Dallas Open, beating Casper Ruud 7-6, 6-3 in the finals.
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Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Elias Ymer and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 16, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 14, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Sep 29, 2025 - Braga, Portugal, Qualifying
Sep 23, 2025 - Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying
Sep 15, 2025 - ATP Challenger Bad Waltersdorf, Austria Men Single
Sep 8, 2025 - Szczecin, Poland
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 15, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 24, 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Aug 30, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 28, 2025 - ATP US Open
Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Denis Shapovalov defeated Leo Borg 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 in the second round of the 2025 ATP Stockholm.
- Denis Shapovalov is 6-0 in indoor matches in 2025.
- Elias Ymer defeated Jacob Fearnley 6-2, 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 ATP Stockholm.
- Elias Ymer is 4-37 against the ATP top-50 in his career.
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Our Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
Fearless Forecast: I have Denis Shapovalov breezing through to a comfortable win over Elias Ymer 6-4, 6-3 on Friday. Ymer deserves recognition for making it this deep into the tournament, but the caliber of his opponent will only get tougher going forward. Shapovalov might not be as sharp as he was during his prime years, but he’s still a legit top-30 player in the world. Moreover, the Canadian is 6-0 in indoor matches this year and even won an indoor title (Dallas Open) last February.
Our betting prediction for Denis Shapovalov vs. Elias Ymer: Denis Shapovalov -4.5 Games
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