Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys Prediction & Picks - WTA Finals

WTA - WTA Finals

WTA 6 Kazachstan
Elena Rybakina
11/5/25 09:00
WTA 7 USA
Madison Keys

Prediction:

 

Total Under 21.5 Games

-140
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan will shoot for a clean slate in the round-robin stage of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals as she battles the still winless Madison Keys on Wednesday.

The last two matches between Rybakina and Keys went the distance. Will this upcoming duel need more than 23 games to decide a winner? The Over 23.5 Games is valued at +140 or a payout of $240 per $100 bet on DraftKings.

Current Form:

Rybakina will walk into her last match in the round-robin phase of the Tour Finals as the clear-cut favorite at -387 after destroying Amanda Anisimova 6-3, 6-1 and outlasting Iga Swiatek 3-6, 1-6, 0-6. The former Wimbledon Open winner is in spectacular form in Riyadh, winning 81.4 percent of her first serves and converting 75 percent of her breakpoint chances.

Keys dropped her first two assignments in the WTA year-ender, bowing to Iga Swiatek 1-6, 2-6 and Amanda Anisimova 6-4, 3-6, 2-6. Keys has won only 56 percent of her first serves and converted 45.5 percent of his break-point chances in her first two matches at the 2025 WTA Tour Finals. Keys has a 17-17 record in indoor play in 2025.

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Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys Form

Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys Latest Matches

Elena Rybakina Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 3, 2025 - WTA Finals

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Nov 1, 2025 - WTA Finals

Amanda Anisimova
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Oct 24, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Linda Noskova
withdraw
Elena Rybakina

Oct 23, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Victoria Mboko
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Oct 22, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Leylah Annie Fernandez
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Oct 19, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina
Madison Keys Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 3, 2025 - WTA Finals

Amanda Anisimova
2 :  1
Madison Keys

Nov 1, 2025 - WTA Finals

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Madison Keys

Aug 25, 2025 - WTA US Open

Madison Keys
1 :  2
Renata Zarazua

Aug 13, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  1
Madison Keys

Aug 11, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aoi Ito
0 :  2
Madison Keys

Aug 9, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Eva Lys
1 :  2
Madison Keys

Elena Rybakina against Madison Keys : Head to Head (H2H)

Elena Rybakina

50 %

Madison Keys

50 %

Aug 13, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  1
Madison Keys

Jan 19, 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
1 :  2
Madison Keys

Mar 25, 2024 - WTA Miami

Madison Keys
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Aug 19, 2022 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Elena Rybakina
Compare Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys with our comparison tool.

Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys Key Points

  1. Madison Keys lost to Amanda Anisimova 6-4, 3-6, 2-6 on Day 3 of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals.
  2. Madison Keys has a 17-17 record in indoor play.
  3. Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Swiatek 3-6, 1-6, 0-6 on Day 3 of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals.
  4. Elena Rybakina is 5-0 in indoor play in 2025.
Up to $300+ to bet on Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys! 

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Our Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Elena Rybakina is poised to make quick work of Madison Keys in their 7th head-to-head encounter. Rybakina has won 8 of her last 9 matches, proving to everybody that she’s still a force on the WTA Tour. As for Keys, it’s obvious that she doesn’t have the form to compete with the elites in this tournament. Keys had previously lost her opening match at the 2025 US Open to Renata Zarazua and skipped the Asian swing of the WTA Tour, which deprived her of an opportunity to sharpen her game against top-level opposition before the Tour Finals. Elena Ryabkina will cruise to a straight-set win in this one with the total going under 21.5 games.

Our betting prediction for Elena Rybakina vs. Madison Keys: Total Under 21.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Total Under 21.5 Games

-140
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys Picks