WTA - WTA Wuhan Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jessica Pegula of the United States currently stands as a slight -115 favorite against Ekaterina Alexandrova of Russia in the round of 16 at the 2025 Wuhan Open on Thursday.
Is Pegula a strong bet on the moneyline market?
Current Form:
After reaching at least the quarterfinals in her last two tournaments, Pegula moved one win away from another final-eight appearance following her gritty victory over Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 on Wednesday. Pegula was forced to play a three-setter for the fifth consecutive time after Baptiste launched a furious fight back in the second set. Pegula persevered once again, coming through with a handful of clutch shots to best Baptiste in the third-set tiebreaker. Pegula improved to 5-1 in her last six matches.
Meanwhile, Alexandrova cruised into the quarterfinal round after earning back-to-back straight-set victories over rising stars Victoria Mboko of Canada 6-3, 6-2 and Ann Li of the United States 7-6, 6-2. Alexandrova, who finished runner-up to Iga Swiatek at the Korea Open, can secure her third WTA 1000 quarterfinal appearance with a signature win over Pegula on Thursday.
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Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 7, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 6, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 26, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 21, 2025 - WTA Korea Open
Sep 20, 2025 - WTA Korea Open
Sep 20, 2025 - WTA Korea Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 7, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 4, 2025 - WTA China Open
Oct 3, 2025 - WTA China Open
Oct 1, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 29, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 27, 2025 - WTA China Open
Ekaterina Alexandrova against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 5, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Feb 13, 2025 - WTA Doha
Mar 27, 2024 - WTA Miami
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Jessica Pegula defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 in the second round of the 2025 Wuhan Open.
- Jessica Pegula is 5-1 in her last six matches.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova is 3-2 against Jessica Pegula in their head-to-head series.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Ann Li 7-6, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Wuhan Open.
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Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Alexandrova is 3-2 head-to-head against Pegula. These two have already played each other thrice this year, with Alexandrova winning at the Doha Open 4-6, 6-1, 6-1 and the Stuttgart Open. Pegula earned her lone win of the year against the Russian in Charleston in the semifinal round, 6-2, 2-6, 7-5. Pegula is 4-6 against the WTA top-20 players this year, while Alexandrova is 9-6 against these players. However, Pegula carries a much better record on the hard court at 32-11, whereas Alexandrova has only compiled an 18-13 slate on the surface.
Fearless Forecast: Picking the winner is hard for this particular matchup because both players can play at a high level. Alexandrova has fresher legs after scoring two quick wins, but Pegula is armed with the experience and poise under pressure. This will be a brutal duel, and the outcome will probably be settled in three sets.
Our betting prediction for Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Over 23.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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