Egypt vs Zimbabwe Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Egypt
12/22/25 15:00
Zimbabwe

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-150
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 by Erik Gibbs in AFCON Picks

Egypt and Zimbabwe come into this AFCON Group B encounter having experienced very different paths in recent competitive matches. Egypt arrive with strong momentum after a dominant AFCON qualifying campaign, where they finished top of their group without a single defeat. Across six qualifying matches, Egypt recorded multiple wins and limited opponents to just two goals conceded, underlining their defensive stability. Beyond qualifiers, Egypt have also carried a long unbeaten run in competitive fixtures against African opposition, reinforcing their reputation as one of the continent's most consistent national sides. Their recent performances suggest a team comfortable controlling games, managing tempo, and closing out results efficiently.

Zimbabwe's recent record presents a more mixed picture. While they successfully qualified for the tournament by finishing second in their group, the overall performance level was uneven. The Warriors struggled to consistently impose themselves offensively, scoring just six goals during qualification. Although they showed resilience in tight matches and avoided heavy defeats, their recent friendly results have been inconsistent, with wins followed by narrow losses. Historically, Zimbabwe have also found results hard to come by against higher-ranked African teams, and they have not recorded a win over Egypt in more than 30 years, a statistic that reflects the gap in recent competitive outcomes between the two sides.

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Egypt vs Zimbabwe Form

Egypt and Zimbabwe Latest Matches

Egypt
Egypt Latest matches
L D D D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Egypt
0 :  3
Jordan

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

United Arab Emirates
1 :  1
Egypt

Dec 2, 2025 - Arab Cup

Egypt
1 :  1
Kuwait

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
2 :  0
Egypt
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Egypt
0 :  3
Jordan

Dec 2, 2025 - Arab Cup

Egypt
1 :  1
Kuwait

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Egypt
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
3 :  0
Tunisia

Sep 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
1 :  0
Tunisia
W D W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

United Arab Emirates
1 :  1
Egypt

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
2 :  0
Egypt

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  3
Egypt

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
0 :  0
Egypt

Mar 21, 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe Latest matches
L L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Qatar
1 :  2
Zimbabwe

Nov 13, 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
3 :  1
Zimbabwe

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Lesotho
1 :  0
Zimbabwe

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
0 :  0
South Africa

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
0 :  1
Rwanda

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Benin
1 :  0
Zimbabwe
D W D D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
0 :  0
South Africa

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
0 :  1
Rwanda

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
2 :  2
Benin

Nov 15, 2024 - AFCON

Zimbabwe
1 :  1
Kenya

Oct 14, 2024 - AFCON

Zimbabwe
3 :  1
Namibia

Sep 10, 2024 - AFCON

Zimbabwe
0 :  0
Cameroon
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Qatar
1 :  2
Zimbabwe

Nov 13, 2025 - International Friendlies

Algeria
3 :  1
Zimbabwe

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Lesotho
1 :  0
Zimbabwe

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Benin
1 :  0
Zimbabwe

Jun 10, 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
1 :  3
Zimbabwe

Jun 7, 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
2 :  0
Zimbabwe

Egypt against Zimbabwe : Head to Head (H2H)

Jun 21, 2019 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
Zimbabwe

Egypt - Zimbabwe: Form Analysis

Egypt's current form is built on structure and balance rather than attacking excess. Defensively, they remain one of the most disciplined teams in Africa, maintaining compact lines and limiting high-quality chances. Their midfield control allows them to dominate possession phases without overcommitting numbers forward, which reduces vulnerability on transitions. Egypt are also effective in managing tournament football, often prioritizing game control and patience over high-risk play. This approach has repeatedly proven successful in group-stage matches, where consistency is valued more than spectacle.

Zimbabwe's strengths lie more in organization and physical commitment than technical dominance. The Warriors typically adopt a compact defensive shape, looking to frustrate opponents and keep scorelines manageable. They are at their most effective when matches remain close, allowing them to stay disciplined and search for chances through set pieces or counterattacks. Zimbabwe also tend to show strong work rate across midfield areas, focusing on disrupting passing lanes rather than pressing high. While this approach can limit damage against stronger teams, it often leaves them reliant on efficiency rather than sustained attacking pressure.

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Zimbabwe v Egypt last Lineups

Egypt

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
Gabaski
3
M. Hany
24
A. Mohamed
6
A. Hegazy
13
A. Fotouh
14
M. Ateya
17
M. Elneny
25
Zizo
5
H. Fathi
19
M. Mohamed
7
M. Trezeguet
17
K. Musona
19
A. Muskwe
3
J. Zemura
16
K. Mahachi
12
B. Kangwa
11
N. Tigere
2
G. Murwira
5
G. Takwara
13
T. Kamusoko
20
P. Muduhwa
21
T. Shumba

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Zimbabwe

Egypt & Zimbabwe Squad Analysis

Egypt's squad contains several individuals capable of deciding matches at this level. Captain Mohamed Salah remains the focal point of the attack, combining elite finishing with the ability to draw defenders and create space for teammates. His influence goes beyond goals, as opponents frequently adjust their defensive shape to contain him. Supporting Salah is Mahmoud Hassan, who adds width, creativity, and a direct goal threat. Trezeguet was Egypt's leading scorer during qualification, highlighting his importance in breaking down organized defenses. In midfield, experienced players such as Mohamed Elneny provide composure and tactical discipline, helping Egypt maintain control during key phases of play.

Zimbabwe's hopes rest on a smaller group of experienced contributors. Captain Marvelous Nakamba anchors the midfield, offering defensive awareness and leadership. His role will be crucial in limiting Egypt's central progression and organizing transitions. In attack, Knowledge Musona remains Zimbabwe's primary goal threat. As the national team's all-time leading scorer, Musona's experience, positioning, and set-piece ability provide Zimbabwe with their clearest route to goal, particularly in a match where open-play chances may be scarce.

Egypt - Zimbabwe Key Points

  1. The Over is 1-4 in Egypt's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Zimbabwe's last 5 games
  3. Egypt are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Zimbabwe are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Egypt vs Zimbabwe Prediction

From a tactical and historical perspective, Egypt enter this match as clear favorites. Their superior squad depth, tournament experience, and defensive reliability give them multiple pathways to victory. Egypt are well equipped to control possession, limit Zimbabwe's attacking opportunities, and gradually apply pressure over the course of the match. Zimbabwe's best chance lies in keeping the score level for as long as possible, relying on discipline and isolated moments to threaten on counters or dead-ball situations.

However, sustained pressure is likely to favor Egypt as the match progresses. With proven goal scorers and a strong defensive foundation, Egypt should be able to convert control into tangible advantage. Unless Zimbabwe can capitalize on early chances or force Egypt into uncharacteristic mistakes, the balance of probability points toward an Egyptian win. A controlled performance resulting in a one- or two-goal victory for Egypt appears the most realistic outcome based on current form and squad quality. Our prediction for Egypt vs. Zimbabwe: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-150
$200 offered for betting!

Egypt vs Zimbabwe - Other Interesting Picks

Mostafa Mohamed to score first goal

Odds +450
Zimbabwe will likely focus on Egypt's primary threat, Mohamed Salah. This wiil open an opportunity for Mostafa Mohamed to find the net early in the game.
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Egypt vs Zimbabwe Picks