Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Seattle Mariners
10/5/25 20:03
Detroit Tigers

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5

-149
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

The first game of the Tigers-Mariners divisional playoff series was undoubtedly the most exciting of the four games played on Saturday. It was the closest from start to finish, but the Mariners lost it in extra innings, 2-3.

The pitching duel between Melton for the Tigers and Kirby for the Mariners seemed to be playing out in Seattle's favor. Things started well for the home team when Julio Rodríguez hit a solo home run in the 4th inning that blew up T-Mobile Park, but in the following inning, Carpenter took advantage of a pitch that stayed in the power zone and homered with Meadows on board, giving the Tigers the lead.

J. Rod also drove in the tying run, with a single that brought in Arozarena. The game went into extra innings, in the 11th inning, and was a showdown between two of the best bullpens in the MLB.

For the Tigers, Hurter, R. Montero, Holton, Kahnle, Finnegan, Vest, and K. Montero combined out of the bullpen to pitch seven innings of one-run ball, with Vest pitching two and K. Montero recording the save by recording the final three outs. McKinstry drove in the go-ahead run for the Tigers with a single that went up the middle; it's a series that's getting tremendously complicated for the Mariners, given that Skubal is pitching on Sunday.

Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Form

Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  2
Colorado Rockies
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
3 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
9 :  2
Colorado Rockies
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  7
Seattle Mariners

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  6
Seattle Mariners

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  4
Seattle Mariners

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
7 :  5
Seattle Mariners

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  12
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  10
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  4
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  7
Cleveland Guardians
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Seattle Mariners against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)

Seattle Mariners

50 %

Detroit Tigers

50 %

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  8
Seattle Mariners

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
7 :  15
Seattle Mariners

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  12
Seattle Mariners

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  9
Detroit Tigers

Seattle Mariners - Detroit Tigers Key Points

  1. The Tigers won Saturday despite striking out 16 times
  2. The Mariners have won both times in 2025 when they faced Skubal
  3. Seven of the Tigers' last 10 games have resulted in a Game Total of UNDER in betting
  4. On average, Mariners starters struck out 5.4 per outing this season

Our Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Although it seemed impossible, Tarik Skubal, the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, had an even better outing in his first postseason outing this year than the gems he frequently pitched against in the regular season. Against the Guards in the Wild Card Series, Skubal pitched 7.

2 innings with an impressive 14 strikeouts; he also displayed some of that near-absolute dominance in last year's playoffs.

For his part, Luis Castillo will be the Mariners' starter in this key game. The Dominican also had an excellent finish to his regular season. From September 12th to the 24th, he pitched three straight quality outings; in the last one against the Rockies, he struck out 10 and earned a W in each of those three games.

Our prediction for Mariners vs Tigers is: Under 6.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5

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Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Picks