Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates (61-65, 32-31 Home) are scheduled to play the Detroit Tigers (60-64, 28-33 Away) in a three-game series this week, with the first game on Monday, August 17, at 7 p.m. EST in PNC Park.
Pittsburgh will come into the series with a little momentum after beating the Boston Red Sox twice over the weekend. Detroit, on the other hand, will be looking to get things turned around after getting swept by the Chicago White Sox at home.
The Pirates appear to be going with a bullpen day with reliever Carmen Mlodzinski. He has 11 starts to his name in 27 appearances but hasn’t gone over three innings since early June. Mlodzinski has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP. At home, he went 4-1 in 13 appearances (four starts) at home with a 3.94 ERA and a .254 OBA.
Detroit is scheduled to go with Framber Valdez to start the day. He has had a rough year, going 7-8 in 24 starts with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Valdez has gone 3-4 in 13 starts on the road with a 4.23 ERA and a .270 OBA. In 80 at-bats vs. Valdez, the Pittsburgh lineup has hit .263 with 17 strikeouts and no home runs.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.484 | 124 | 60 | 64 |
|
17
|
0.484 | 126 | 61 | 65 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Pittsburgh Pirates against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)
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Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Detroit Tigers Key Points
- The Pirates lead the all-time series vs. the Tigers, 53-46.
- Pittsburgh is 32-312 ATS (run line) at home; Detroit is 30-31 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is 41-21-1 for the Pirates at home and 29-29-3 for the Tigers on the road.
- Betting Public: 50% of moneyline tickets and 56% of the handle are on Detroit.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
I’m a little hesitant here because I am relying a little on Framber Valdez to be the good version of himself, like he was in two of his last three starts (lasted seven innings in both; allowed two runs in one and zero in the other). If that version shows up, with some help from a solid bullpen, they can keep the Pirates from heating up. However, it is hard to say what Detroit's lineup (hit .217 over the last week) will do against Pittsburgh's pitchers—which is why I have to go with the Under.
Our Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Pick: UNDER 8
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