Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8/17/26 19:05
Detroit Tigers

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-109
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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates (61-65, 32-31 Home) are scheduled to play the Detroit Tigers (60-64, 28-33 Away) in a three-game series this week, with the first game on Monday, August 17, at 7 p.m. EST in PNC Park.

Pittsburgh will come into the series with a little momentum after beating the Boston Red Sox twice over the weekend. Detroit, on the other hand, will be looking to get things turned around after getting swept by the Chicago White Sox at home.

The Pirates appear to be going with a bullpen day with reliever Carmen Mlodzinski. He has 11 starts to his name in 27 appearances but hasn’t gone over three innings since early June. Mlodzinski has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP. At home, he went 4-1 in 13 appearances (four starts) at home with a 3.94 ERA and a .254 OBA.

Detroit is scheduled to go with Framber Valdez to start the day. He has had a rough year, going 7-8 in 24 starts with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Valdez has gone 3-4 in 13 starts on the road with a 4.23 ERA and a .270 OBA. In 80 at-bats vs. Valdez, the Pittsburgh lineup has hit .263 with 17 strikeouts and no home runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
17 Detroit Tigers
0.484 124 60 64
17 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.484 126 61 65

Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 13, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  13
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 12, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 11, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 14, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 9, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  11
New York Mets

Aug 8, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  0
New York Mets

Aug 7, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  6
New York Mets
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 13, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  13
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 12, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 11, 2026 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 6, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 16, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Aug 15, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
Chicago White Sox

Aug 14, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  9
Chicago White Sox

Aug 13, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 12, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 11, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  4
Cleveland Guardians
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 16, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Aug 15, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
Chicago White Sox

Aug 14, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  9
Chicago White Sox

Aug 13, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 12, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 11, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
6 :  4
Cleveland Guardians
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 9, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Aug 8, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
0 :  8
Detroit Tigers

Aug 7, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Aug 6, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  11
Detroit Tigers

Aug 5, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
4 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Aug 4, 2026 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
0 :  8
Detroit Tigers

Pittsburgh Pirates against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

100 %

Detroit Tigers

0 %

Mar 18, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
5 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 7, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
3 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates - Detroit Tigers Key Points

  1. The Pirates lead the all-time series vs. the Tigers, 53-46.
  2. Pittsburgh is 32-312 ATS (run line) at home; Detroit is 30-31 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 41-21-1 for the Pirates at home and 29-29-3 for the Tigers on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 50% of moneyline tickets and 56% of the handle are on Detroit.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m a little hesitant here because I am relying a little on Framber Valdez to be the good version of himself, like he was in two of his last three starts (lasted seven innings in both; allowed two runs in one and zero in the other). If that version shows up, with some help from a solid bullpen, they can keep the Pirates from heating up. However, it is hard to say what Detroit's lineup (hit .217 over the last week) will do against Pittsburgh's pitchers—which is why I have to go with the Under.

Our Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Pick: UNDER 8

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-109
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.