Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7/22/25 18:40
Detroit Tigers

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Pirates will host the Detroit Tigers at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA, in the second game of a three-game series tonight. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EST.

Paul Skenes came through for the Pirates last night, leading Pittsburgh to a 3-0 win over the visiting Tigers and ending the losing streak at three. Of course, the trick now will be to tack on another win and start a streak. To that end, the Pirates are starting Mitch Keller on the mound. Keller is 3-10 in 20 starts with a 3.48 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .237 OBA. He has not had his best stuff at home, however. In 12 home starts, Keller has gone 2-7 with a 3.89 ERA and .264 OBA. To stop the bleeding, the Tigers will start Casey Mize. Mize has gone 9-3 in 16 starts with a 3.15 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and .251 OBA. He has been slightly better on the road than at home with a 3.08 road ERA (3.23 at home) with a 4-2 record in nine starts with a .262 OBA. Mize does not have a lot of experience against the Pirates, but in the 37 at-bats against him, Pittsburgh hit .270.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
11 Detroit Tigers
0.537 162 87 75
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  10
Chicago White Sox

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  10
Chicago White Sox

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
12 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  10
Chicago White Sox

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  10
Chicago White Sox

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  0
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  0
St. Louis Cardinals
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
12 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
9 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
4 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  8
Seattle Mariners

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
7 :  15
Seattle Mariners
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  8
Seattle Mariners

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
7 :  15
Seattle Mariners

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  12
Seattle Mariners

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
5 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  2
Detroit Tigers

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
4 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Pittsburgh Pirates against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

40 %

Detroit Tigers

60 %

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jun 17, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 29, 2024 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
8 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 9, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Sep 6, 2021 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  3
Detroit Tigers

Pittsburgh Pirates - Detroit Tigers Key Points

  1. Pittsburgh has won ten consecutive home games against teams with winning records.
  2. Pittsburgh has lost ten of their last 11 vs. AL teams following a win.
  3. Mitch Keller has a 1.37 ERA across three starts in July (19 2/3 innings, three runs allowed).
  4. Betting Public: 75% of TOTAL tickets and 62% of the handle is on the OVER (8).
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Both lineups have been horrible since the All-Star break; Detroit has scored three runs in four games, and the Pirates have scored 10. Each team has a solid pitcher taking the mound. I don’t see any reason why the public is favoring the OVER so heavily. This will not be a high-scoring game (probably won by Detroit).

Our Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Pick: UNDER 8

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-105
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Picks