Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Pirates will host the Detroit Tigers at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA, in the second game of a three-game series tonight. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EST.
Paul Skenes came through for the Pirates last night, leading Pittsburgh to a 3-0 win over the visiting Tigers and ending the losing streak at three. Of course, the trick now will be to tack on another win and start a streak. To that end, the Pirates are starting Mitch Keller on the mound. Keller is 3-10 in 20 starts with a 3.48 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .237 OBA. He has not had his best stuff at home, however. In 12 home starts, Keller has gone 2-7 with a 3.89 ERA and .264 OBA. To stop the bleeding, the Tigers will start Casey Mize. Mize has gone 9-3 in 16 starts with a 3.15 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and .251 OBA. He has been slightly better on the road than at home with a 3.08 road ERA (3.23 at home) with a 4-2 record in nine starts with a .262 OBA. Mize does not have a lot of experience against the Pirates, but in the 37 at-bats against him, Pittsburgh hit .270.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
0.537 | 162 | 87 | 75 |
|
26
|
0.438 | 162 | 71 | 91 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
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Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
Jul 19, 2025 - MLB
Jul 18, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 1, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
Jul 19, 2025 - MLB
Jul 18, 2025 - MLB
Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
Jul 19, 2025 - MLB
Jul 18, 2025 - MLB
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Jun 17, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2024 - MLB
Apr 9, 2024 - MLB
Sep 6, 2021 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Detroit Tigers Key Points
- Pittsburgh has won ten consecutive home games against teams with winning records.
- Pittsburgh has lost ten of their last 11 vs. AL teams following a win.
- Mitch Keller has a 1.37 ERA across three starts in July (19 2/3 innings, three runs allowed).
- Betting Public: 75% of TOTAL tickets and 62% of the handle is on the OVER (8).
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Both lineups have been horrible since the All-Star break; Detroit has scored three runs in four games, and the Pirates have scored 10. Each team has a solid pitcher taking the mound. I don’t see any reason why the public is favoring the OVER so heavily. This will not be a high-scoring game (probably won by Detroit).
Our Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Pick: UNDER 8
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.