Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
5/7/25 21:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

Denver Nuggets +11

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks

This second round Western Conference semifinals series between the fourth-seeded Denver Nuggets and top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder will continue on Wednesday night with Game 2. Let’s take a look at the match predictions and statistics to see if Denver can increase their advantage or if Oklahoma City can fight back to even the series.

Denver enters this game with a surprising 1-0 series lead after coming back to beat the Thunder in Game 1 by a score of 121-119. The Nuggets were extremely well balanced in this game, with four of their five starters scoring in double figures.

The leading scorer for Denver was no other than Nikola Jokic, who posted a game-high 42 points, while also grabbing 22 rebounds. Despite Jokic’s amazing performance, it was Aaron Gordon who was the hero in Game 1, as his go-ahead three-pointer sealed the upset win for the Nuggets with just seconds left on the clock. 

As for Oklahoma City, they have immediately handed Denver home court advantage in this series and now find themselves in a must-win situation in Game 2. Like the Nuggets, the Thunder were well-balanced offensively, as all five of their starters scored in double figures. MVP candidate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City in scoring with 33 points and 10 rebounds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  80
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  80
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
136 :  120
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
99 :  126
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  103
Detroit Pistons
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
111 :  145
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
112 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  111
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

May 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

May 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  101
Denver Nuggets

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
117 :  83
Denver Nuggets
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers

Apr 21, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
102 :  105
LA Clippers

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  110
LA Clippers

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  109
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  125
Indiana Pacers
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

May 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  101
Denver Nuggets

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
117 :  83
Denver Nuggets

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
111 :  126
Denver Nuggets

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
116 :  124
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

Denver Nuggets

50 %

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  140
Denver Nuggets

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  103
Denver Nuggets

Nov 6, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oct 24, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  102
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 31, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
105 :  100
Denver Nuggets

Players list

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
J. Williams C. Holmgren I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

L. Dort

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic

C. Braun

J. Murray

A. Gordon

M. Porter Jr.

Substitutes

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams

I. Joe

A. Mitchell

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

C. Wallace

J. Williams

D. Jones

O. Dieng

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Z. Nnaji D. Jordan

R. Westbrook

J. Pickett

J. Strawther

P. Watson

H. Tyson

D. Saric

V. Cancar

Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. Denver outrebounded OKC in Game 1, 63 to 43
  2. OKC blew a 9-point lead with three minutes to play
  3. OKC shot 71.4% from the free-throw line
  4. Denver is 4-4 ATS in the playoffs

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The point spread is head-scratching for Game 2 as the Thunder just lost Game 1 as a double-digit favorite and now find themselves as a double-digit favorite in Game 2. The Thunder will no doubt be out to make amends for their Game 1 collapse, but as Denver showed on Monday, they will not go down without a fight.

The bigger concern for the Thunder is finding a way to slow down Nikola Jokic. As mentioned, Jokic had an absurd stat line in Game 1 with 42 points and 22 rebounds. Further, he shot 15 of 29 from the field, so he was also extremely efficient.  

Despite the loss in Game 1, Oklahoma City was the best home team in the league this season, so while there is a good chance that they will even this series, beating the Nuggets by 10+ is too much of a risk. For that reason, our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Denver Nuggets +11.

Prediction:

 

Denver Nuggets +11

-110
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Picks