Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
A potential preview of this year’s Western Conference finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets will duke it out Paycom Center on Monday. The Thunder have racked up seven wins in a row since losing to the Minnesota Timberwolves 128-130 OT on February 26.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on a tear as of late, scoring at least 40 points in three of OKC’s last four games. In their latest win over the Nuggets 127-103, the Thunder MVP candidate dropped 40 points on 46.9 percent shooting to lead his team to a signature win over the team of his fiercest competitor for the MVP honor, Nikola Jokic. Meanwhile, the Nuggets will try to end a two-game skid on the road when they play the Thunder anew at the Paycom Center.
After becoming the first player to register 31 points, 21 rebounds and 22 assists in a 149-141 win over the Phoenix Suns, Nikola Jokic followed it up with 24 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists, which may not be as historic as the previous output but still an impressive statistical line for any player.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.829 | 82 | 68 | 14 | 4 |
|
6
|
0.61 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 3 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets: Form Analysis
The Oklahoma City Thunder have won their last seven games, strengthening their grip on the No.1 spot in the Western Conference standings with a 53-11 record. The Thunder have beaten the Nuggets in two of the first three meetings this season, including a 127-103 blowout on March 9.
Oklahoma City are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The Denver Nuggets have gone 4-4 after their 9-game winning streak. Their losses in this stretch came at the hands of elite contenders from both conferences such as the Los Angeles Lakers 100-123, Milwaukee Bucks 112-121, Boston Celtics 103-110, and the Thunder 103-12.
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Players list
L. Dort
R. Westbrook
C. Braun
J. Murray
M. Porter Jr.
Substitutes
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
C. Wallace
J. Williams
D. Jones
O. Dieng
J. Pickett
T. Alexander
S. Jones
P. Hall
P. Watson
D. Saric
V. Cancar
H. Tyson
Oklahoma City Thunder & Denver Nuggets Squad Analysis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored at least 40 points in three of OKC’s last four games. In their latest win over the Nuggets, the OKC star dropped 40 points on 46 percent field-goal shooting.
The Thunder are healthy with no report of injuries on their starting five and key players off the bench.
Aside from Aaron Gordon, who is listed as game-time decision, the Nuggets are also ready and prepared for their rematch with the Thunder. Nikola Jokic will be the front and center of the Nuggets offense, but you should also pay close attention on Jamal Murray and Russell Westbrook, who are capable of turning the tide of the game with their streaky shooting.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points
- Oklahoma City are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Denver are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
- Denver are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Oklahoma City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Thunder enjoy an 11-game lead on the Nuggets in the Northwest Division standings. It’s safe to say that the OKC has already locked up the No.1 seed for the Western Conference playoffs with still four weeks left in the regular-season schedule.
Nevertheless, they also understand how important it is to establish dominance over a team that they would most likely face at some point in the postseason. The Thunder are -8.5 points to win, which is a fair handicap since they obliterated the Nuggets by 25 points two days ago. However, the Nuggets are legit contenders for a reason. Mike Malone and his coaching staff have already made their adjustments and these subtle changes will have a big impact as the Nuggets look to play a better brand of basketball in their rematch with the No.1 team in the West.
Our betting prediction for the OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets: Nuggets +8.5 points.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets - Other Interesting Picks
Nikola Jokic 50+ from points + rebounds + assists
Nikola Jokic had a regular near-triple-double night in the loss to OKC two days ago. Jokic is a smart man and very much aware that he needs to double his output in the next game to give his team a legit shot at beating the No.1 team in the West. Moreover, he also understands that the media will be paying close attention on his final regular-season face-off with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. I know Jokic is dismissive about his interest in winning his fourth MVP award, but deep inside I know he’s a competitive beast who revels at destroying his rivals in every opportunity he gets. Needless to say, there’s a good chance we going to witness another massive output from the Joker in this marquee matchup with the Thunder. Our betting prediction for the OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic 50+ from points + rebounds + assists
Over 238.5 Points
The Thunder defense clamped down the Nuggets to 103 points in the previous game, causing the total to go under 242.5 points. The total has gone Under in seven of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between the OKC and Denver. OKC is such a defensive juggernaut that they can hold teams several points below their season averages consistently. Will the combined score for Monday’s game go UNDER again? With some adjustments from the coaching staff, the Nuggets will score a lot better this time around, enough to go toe-to-toe with the Thunder and push the total past 238 points. Our betting prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets: Over 238.5 Points
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