Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Denver Broncos
12/25/25 20:15
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction:

 

Denver -12.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy in NFL Picks

The Denver Broncos (12-3) are hoping to stay on top of the AFC standings and ultimately secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. On Thursday night, they will need to pick up yet another win over the Kansas City Chiefs (6-9), who will be playing spoiler for the first time in several years.

The Chiefs have lost both Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew to torn ACLs and will likely be starting Chris Oladokun at QB. He was pressed into action last week when Minshew went down and completed 11 of his 16 assists but was unable to lead the Chiefs against the lowly Titans. Kansas City is not playing for anything, and the team in total looked disinterested last week.

Denver was riding an impressive 11-game winning streak as it faced the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. Trevor Lawrence and company took over Mile High and grabbed an impressive 34-20 win in Denver. The loss prevented the Broncos from controlling their own destiny in winning the next 2 games to clinch home-field advantage. Now they are one loss and one New England win away from seeing the Patriots take the top spot in the AFC.

Denver will need to shake off the rough game last week and finish off this hobbled Kansas City team to fend off the Patriots from catching them in the standings.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
2
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
0.8 15 12 0 3
23
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
0.4 15 6 0 9

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches

Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
34 :  20
Denver Broncos

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
26 :  34
Denver Broncos

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
24 :  17
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
27 :  26
Washington Commanders

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
7 :  10
Denver Broncos
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
34 :  20
Denver Broncos

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
26 :  34
Denver Broncos

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
7 :  10
Denver Broncos

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  44
Denver Broncos

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
32 :  33
Denver Broncos
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
24 :  17
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
27 :  26
Washington Commanders

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
13 :  11
New York Jets

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
21 :  17
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  23
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
9 :  26
Tennessee Titans

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
16 :  13
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  10
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
16 :  13
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  10
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
7 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
0 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
9 :  26
Tennessee Titans

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  28
Buffalo Bills

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  9
New York Giants

Denver Broncos against Kansas City Chiefs : Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Broncos

50 %

Draw

0 %

Kansas City Chiefs

50 %

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
0 :  38
Denver Broncos

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
14 :  16
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 29, 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
9 :  24
Denver Broncos

Oct 12, 2023 - NFL

Denver Broncos
8 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 11, 2022 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
34 :  28
Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. Kansas City is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games.
  2. Kansas City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
  3. Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
  4. Denver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against Kansas City.

Our Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

This game really should not be closed from the opening whistle. Outside of the Broncos committing a bunch of turnovers, we believe they will walk into Kansas City and take an easy win home with them. The Chiefs have looked disjointed all season, and now, with their 3rd string QB, we do not see the players getting up for this one. The Broncos are in a great bounce-back spot here and should cover by 2 touchdowns.

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos: Denver -12.5

Prediction:

 

Denver -12.5

-110
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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks