Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open
WTA - WTA US Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
At the US Open on Tuesday, the world number 61 and the world number 87 will clash in first-round action, as Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa do business for the eighth time as professionals. When these two last met, Kasatkina won in straight sets, and as she's the player who has been much more active in recent times, we could see something similar, despite what the early odds may suggest.
The question that we need to ask ourselves here is does Daria Kasatkina really warrant being as big as +110 against a player who has not played a competitive hard-court match since March? The answer is absolutely not. The Aussie should be a good bit shorter, so it's fair to say that the early market has got this one wrong. Betting on Kasatkina to win at anything bigger than -110 looks like excellent value for money, as we'll discuss below.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Form
Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 13, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 5, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 3, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Jul 26, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Jul 25, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 24, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open
Jul 23, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open
Jul 22, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open
Jul 18, 2026 - WTA Iasi Open
Jul 17, 2026 - WTA Iasi Open
Jul 16, 2026 - WTA Iasi Open
Daria Kasatkina against Paula Badosa : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
May 31, 2025 - WTA French Open
Jul 5, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Apr 18, 2023 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Jan 14, 2022 - Sydney, Australia
Daria Kasatkina - Paula Badosa Key Points
- When the pair last met, back in 2025, Daria Kasatkina won in straight sets.
- Daria Kasatkina has won each of her last two matches against Paula Badosa.
- When the pair last met on a US hard court, Daria Kasatkina won in straight sets.
- Paula Badosa has not played a competitive hard-court match since March.
- Paula Badosa has not played a competitive of any kind in more than a month.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Prediction
It really is hard to see why Paula Badosa is considered to be the narrow favorite here. The early market appears to have got this all wrong, with the Spaniard not playing a competitive match of any kind in over a month, while she hasn't played a competitive hard-court match since March. Daria Kasatkina hasn't been in mind-blowing form of late, but she's played plenty of hard-court tennis, which should leave her better prepared, plus she has a strong recent record against her opponent.
Our Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Pick: Daria Kasatkina to Win.
Caesars Rewards Program
Caesars Sportsbook really spoils new users with an awesome rewards program, making every wager count towards something bigger! Available for users across the country, this program is a bettor's dream. As you enjoy the thrills of sports betting or casino games online, you can earn up to 10 Reward Credits for every $100 wagered on straight bets. And if parlays are more your style, you'll earn up to 20 Reward Credits for every $100 wagered. With Caesars Sportsbook, your bets not only bring the excitement of the game but also the joy of accumulating rewards that enhance your gaming experience. Play now and let Caesars treat you like royalty with each bet you place!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
