Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Vienna
ATP - ATP Vienna
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Posted at -150 to cover +3.5 games, Daniil Medvedev will try to give Carlos Alcaraz a run for his money in their semifinal showdown at the 2026 Vienna Open.
Current Form:
Carlos Alcaraz fended off a comeback bid from Tommy Paul, 6-4, 7-6, to post his third consecutive sweep in Vienna. Alcaraz dominated on serve, winning 80 percent of first-serve points and firing 3 aces. Alcaraz, who also dispatched Karen Khachanov 6-4, 7-6 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-1, 7-6, is 3-0 in tiebreaks in this tournament.
Daniil Medvedev dismantled Adrian Mannarino 6-2, 6-3 to earn another semifinal appearance on the ATP Tour. Medvedev, who won the Almaty Open a week ago, has 10 semifinal appearances on the tour this year.
The Matchup: Alcaraz is 6-3 against Medvedev head-to-head, but the Russian swept him in their most recent meeting at Indian Wells earlier this year.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 30, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 29, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 28, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 25, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 23, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 22, 2026 - Almaty Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 30, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 29, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 27, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Daniil Medvedev against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 14, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Oct 1, 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
Jul 12, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Mar 17, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
Nov 17, 2023 - ATP Finals
Sep 8, 2023 - ATP US Open
Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev is 7-1 in indoor matches in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev won the 2026 Almaty Open.
- Carlos Alcaraz lost to Daniil Medvedev in their most recent meeting at the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 5-1 in indoor matches.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Key Stats: Medvedev has won 72 percent of the first-serve points and dropped only 5 service games so far in Vienna. Medvedev has also converted 11 of 22 break chances in this tournament.
What to Expect: Alcaraz gets the win, but Medvedev covers the +3.5-game line. Medvedev will be a tougher test than Alcaraz’s first three opponents combined. The Russian’s ability to pile up free points with his big first serves and championship experience makes him a formidable foe for Alcaraz, who is still a few levels below the form he had pre-wrist injury. While it’s still difficult to bet against Alcaraz in this high-stakes situation, Medvedev will definitely make the Spaniard work hard for his points in this match.
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz wins 7-5, 4-6, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev +3.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
