Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 18 Russia
Daniil Medvedev
10/11/25 07:00
ATP 54 France
Arthur Rinderknech

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

+110
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

Daniil Medvedev of Russia will shoot for a spot in the championship match of the 2025 Shanghai Masters as he takes on the dangerous Arthur Rinderknech of France on Saturday.

Medvedev is a -380 favorite here, but Rinderknech has made himself a hot underdog pick after taking down several heavyweights in this tournament.

Current Form:

Medvedev punched his ticket to another semifinal round after besting Alex de Minaur in straight sets 6-4, 6-4, in the quarterfinal round. The Russian put on a serving masterclass, winning 33 points behind the first ball and firing five aces to win all his service games. He also broke the Aussie twice to clinch the victory and a spot in the semis.

Rinderknech slayed another giant on Friday, defeating Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. The Frenchman wasted no time imposing his will on Auger-Aliassime as he collected 29 points off the first serves and added 11 more off the second to win all his serves. Rinderknech also seized two breakpoint conversions that allowed him to create enough separation from Auger-Aliassime. Rinderknech is now 13-14 on the hard court in 2025.

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Form

Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Oct 10, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Dalibor Svrcina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
abort
Daniil Medvedev

Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alexander Zverev
Arthur Rinderknech Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 10, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Arthur Rinderknech
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Arthur Rinderknech
2 :  0
Jiri Lehecka

Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Arthur Rinderknech
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

Oct 2, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Arthur Rinderknech
abort
Hamad Medjedovic

Sep 27, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Arthur Rinderknech

Daniil Medvedev against Arthur Rinderknech : Head to Head (H2H)

Aug 31, 2022 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
3 :  0
Arthur Rinderknech
Compare Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech with our comparison tool.

Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech Key Points

  1. Arthur Rinderknech defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
  2. Arthur Rinderknech is 13-14 on the hard court in 2025.
  3. Daniil Medveev defeated Alex de Minaur 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
  4. Daniil Medvedev is 1-0 head-to-head vs. Arthur Rinderknech.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

Medvedev is starting to play high-level tennis again after going through a whirlwind of a season. The Russian has gone 7-1 in his last 8 matches, taking down Alexander Zverev, Learner Tien, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and now Alex De Minaur in the prolific stretch. Rinderknech is also no stranger to beating top-caliber opponents. The Frenchman is 6-1 in his last 7 matches, beating Alex Michelsen, Zverev, Jiri Lehecka and Auger-Aliassime. Rinderknech has held 94 percent of his serves across 5 matches in Shanghai, while Medvedev has won 92 percent of his serves in four matches.

Fearless Forecast: Armed with experience and a surging form, Daniil Medvedev will gut out a close win over Arthur Rinderknech. I believe Medvedev is now playing the kind of game that can win a major title this year. Rinderknech deserves a lot of credit for getting this far, but Medvedev is playing like the world’s No.1 right now.

Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

+110
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Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Picks