Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - ATP Beijing Open

ATP - ATP Beijing Open

ATP 18 Russia
Daniil Medvedev
9/29/25 08:30
ATP 3 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction:

 

Alexander Zverev will win

+104
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Daniil Medvedev of Russia and Alexander Zverev of Germany are set for a titanic clash on Monday at the 2025 China Open.

Medvedev, who boasts a 13-7 record against Zverev, is a slight -126 favorite in this semifinal showdown.

Current Form:

After going 1-4 in his previous five hard-court matches, which included a shocking loss to Yibing Wu in the quarterfinals of the Hangzhou Open, Medvedev recaptured his elite form at the China Open, scoring two decisive victories over Cameron Norrie 6-3, 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3, 6-3. Medvedev has won 72 percent of his serves and converted 11 of 20 breakpoint chance in this ATP 500 event.

Zverev has also rebuilt his confidence after picking up wins over Lorenzo Sonego 6-4, 6-3 and Corentin Moutet 7-5 3-6 6-3. Zverev is coming off a futile campaign at the Laver Cup, where he absorbed back-to-back sweeps at the hands of Alex De Minaur 1-6, 4-6 and Taylor Fritz 3-6, 7-6(4). Zverev is 23-7 on the hard court in 2025.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Form

Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Sep 21, 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Yibing Wu
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Sep 19, 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Nishesh Basavareddy
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  3
Benjamin Bonzi

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adam Walton
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev
Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Sep 21, 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Sep 20, 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Aug 30, 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  3
Felix Auger Aliassime

Aug 28, 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

Daniil Medvedev against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)

Daniil Medvedev

83 %

Alexander Zverev

17 %

Jun 21, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

Jan 26, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Daniil Medvedev
3 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Nov 15, 2023 - ATP Finals

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alexander Zverev

Oct 3, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Aug 17, 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Apr 13, 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev
Compare Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev with our comparison tool.

Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 China Open.
  2. Daniil Medvedev is 15-10 on the hard court in 2025.
  3. Alexander Zverev defeated Corentin Moutet 7-5 3-6 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 China Open.
  4. Alexander Zverev is 23-7 on the hard court in 2025.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Alexander Zverev is presented with an opportunity to end his four-match losing skid against Daniil Medvedev on Monday.

Zverev hasn’t tasted a win against the Russian since the 2023 Cincinnati Open. Ranked No.3 in the world, Zverev might not be in his best shape right now following two devastating losses to De Minaur and Fritz but he is still in better situation than Medvedev, who carries a mediocre 29-19 record in 2025.

Medvedev played a top-10 opponent only three times this year, winning only one of these matches. On the other hand, Zverev is 6-3 against players ranked from No.11 to No.20 in 2025. He is also 6-4 in quarterfinal matches this year.

Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Daniil Medvedev: Alexander Zverev will win.

Prediction:

 

Alexander Zverev will win

+104
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Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Picks