ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Daniil Medvedev of Russia is listed as a +150 underdog for his 12th career matchup with Alex De Minaur of Australia on Friday at the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
Current Form:
Medvedev secured his spot in the quarterfinal round after winning a tough match over Learner Tien of the United States 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 on Wednesday. The former world’s No.1 survived a match full of roller coaster moments, as Tien still proved to be a formidable foe despite playing his 9th match in 13 days. Medvedev collected 59 points off his first serves and fired 10 aces to win 14 out of 17 service games. He also broke Tien’s serve four times, but none was bigger than a clutch service break in the 9th game of the third set that broke a 4-4 deadlock and allowed him to serve for his first win over the American teenager in three meetings.
De Minaur has yet to lose a set in Shanghai. The world’s No.7 advanced to the quarterfinals by scoring back-to-back-to-back sweeps of Camilo Ugo Carabeli 6-4, 6-2, Kamil Majchrzak 6-1, 7-5 and Nuno Borges 7-5, 6-2. De Minaur has won 27 of 28 service games he played in this tournament and converted 11 of 38 breakpoint chances, or a 34 percent breakpoint convert percentage.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Form
Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 27, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Daniil Medvedev against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Nov 12, 2024 - ATP Finals
Jun 3, 2024 - ATP French Open
Sep 30, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 4, 2023 - ATP US Open
Aug 11, 2023 - ATP Toronto
Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev defeated Learner Tien 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Daniil Medvedev is 7-4 head-to-head vs. Alex de Minaur.
- Alex De Minaur defeated Nuno Borges 7-5, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Alex De Minaur is 30-10 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Daniil Medvedev is enjoying arguably the best stretch of tennis this season after winning 6 of his last 7 matches. Medvedev has beaten quality opponents during this seven-game stretch, topping Alejandro Davidovich Fokina twice, Cameron Norrie, Alexander Zverev, and Learner Tien. De Minaur has swept his first three matches in this tournament and also gone 6-1 in his last 7 matches. But one can argue that the opponents he defeated in this current run are not as good as the players Medvedev conquered, especially in Shanghai.
Fearless Forecast: Medvedev is 7-4 head-to-head against De Minaur. The last time they faced each other in an outdoor hard-court setting, Medvedev demolished him 7-6, 6-3 at the 2024 Beijing Open. I expect Medvedev to maintain his terrific form and create problems for De Minaur. He’s winning this one 7-5, 6-7, 6-4.
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur: Daniil Medvedev will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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