Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks
The NBA Play-In Tournament continues with a crucial Western Conference matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Sacramento Kings. With both teams fighting to keep their seasons alive, this game carries major playoff implications. While neither squad enters the game with much momentum, there's still plenty of intrigue—especially given the recent shakeups both franchises have experienced.
Dallas has had a turbulent finish to the season, winning just one of their last five games. To make matters worse, they're entering the play-in round without star guard Kyrie Irving, who suffered a season-ending knee injury. That loss casts a shadow over the Mavericks' postseason hopes, as Irving's leadership and scoring would've been vital in a single-elimination setting. Brandon Williams is also listed as questionable, adding more uncertainty to Dallas's rotation.
Sacramento finished just ahead of Dallas with a 40-42 record, earning home-court advantage for this matchup. The Kings swept the regular season series against the Mavericks, winning all three meetings—one of which was a blowout in March. Despite the departure of longtime cornerstone De'Aaron Fox in a blockbuster three-team trade, the Kings have remained competitive thanks to the addition of Zach LaVine, who has brought veteran scoring and athleticism to the backcourt.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
Apr 11, 2025 - NBA
Apr 9, 2025 - NBA
Apr 7, 2025 - NBA
Apr 6, 2025 - NBA
Apr 4, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
Apr 11, 2025 - NBA
Apr 9, 2025 - NBA
Mar 27, 2025 - NBA
Mar 25, 2025 - NBA
Mar 24, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 7, 2025 - NBA
Apr 6, 2025 - NBA
Apr 4, 2025 - NBA
Apr 2, 2025 - NBA
Mar 31, 2025 - NBA
Mar 29, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
Apr 11, 2025 - NBA
Apr 9, 2025 - NBA
Apr 5, 2025 - NBA
Apr 4, 2025 - NBA
Apr 2, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 11, 2025 - NBA
Apr 9, 2025 - NBA
Apr 2, 2025 - NBA
Mar 31, 2025 - NBA
Mar 21, 2025 - NBA
Mar 16, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
Apr 5, 2025 - NBA
Apr 4, 2025 - NBA
Mar 29, 2025 - NBA
Mar 27, 2025 - NBA
Mar 25, 2025 - NBA
Sacramento Kings against Dallas Mavericks : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 3, 2025 - NBA
Feb 10, 2025 - NBA
Dec 30, 2024 - NBA
Mar 29, 2024 - NBA
Mar 26, 2024 - NBA
Jan 27, 2024 - NBA
Players list
K. Ellis
K. Murray
K. Thompson
N. Marshall
P. Washington Jr.
Substitutes
T. Davis
M. Jones
D. Carter
M. Fultz
I. Crawford
D. McDermott
J. Crowder
T. Lyles
S. Dinwiddie
M. Christie
B. Williams
J. Hardy
D. Exum
K. Edwards
C. Martin
Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. Southwest Division teams
- The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Western Conference teams
- The Kings are 7-0 SU in their last 7 home games vs. Southwest Division teams
- The Mavs are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games vs. Pacific Division teams
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Both teams have key absences heading into this do-or-die game. The Kings will be without Malik Monk and Jake LaRavia, both sidelined due to injury. However, Sacramento still boasts more depth overall, and that could be a deciding factor as rotations tighten in playoff-type intensity.
While the Mavericks have star power in Luka Dončić and hope to ride a standout performance from forward Anthony Davis, who needs to take over offensively in Irving's absence, the Kings appear more balanced. Sacramento's home-court advantage, combined with their dominance over Dallas during the regular season, gives them a slight upper hand.
In a matchup where both teams have struggled down the stretch, Sacramento's consistency in head-to-head meetings and deeper bench could be the difference. Still, with players like Dončić and Davis capable of putting up massive games, Dallas can't be counted out. Expect a hard-fought battle where postseason grit and timely execution will decide who moves on. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks: Kings to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
