2025 Giro d'Italia Picks & Predictions
Cycling Picks: Presentation and Format of the 2025 Giro d'Italia
Get ready for your predictions for the 2025 Giro d'Italia! The 2025 Giro, also known as the Tour of Italy, is the 108th edition of the race and will take place over 21 stages from May 9 to June 1, 2025, covering a total of 3,413.3 km. This year, the race will start in Durrës, Albania, and finish in Rome for the third consecutive time and the seventh time in Giro history.
In the last edition of the Corsa Rosa, Slovenian Tadej Pogačar triumphed ahead of Colombian Daniel Felipe Martínez and Briton Geraint Thomas. Pogačar succeeded his fellow countryman Primož Roglič, who won in the 2023 edition of the race. It's safe to say that the Slovenians have a particular knack for the Italian roads. The question now is who will take over as the heir to the UAE Team Emirates rider this year.
What are the most important stages of the 2025 Giro? Who are the favorites for the 2025 Giro d'Italia? Find all the answers on this page dedicated to the 2025 Giro d'Italia!
Giro Winner Prediction: Who Will Win the 2025 Giro d’Italia?
Last year’s winner, Tadej Pogačar, is sitting out the 2025 Giro d’Italia, leaving the race wide open for other riders in the peloton to step up. Jonas Vingegaard and Remco Evenepoel are also absent, making Primož Roglič the clear favorite for this year’s overall victory. Sportsbooks have already released early odds on the 2025 Giro champion, with Roglič topping the list, followed closely by UAE’s rising star Juan Ayuso.
At SportyTrader, our editorial team is in full agreement with the oddsmakers. Our experts are backing Roglič to wear the pink jersey in Rome at the end of this year’s Giro. A former winner in 2023, the Slovenian has the all-around skill set and mountain support (from teammates Jai Hindley and Daniel Felipe Martínez) to separate himself from the competition. Plus, with two individual time trial stages on the route, Roglič’s strength in that discipline could prove decisive.
Just behind the Bora-Hansgrohe leader, Juan Ayuso and Adam Yates are expected to seize the opportunity left by Pogačar’s absence. Italy’s Antonio Tiberi, who finished fifth in last year’s Giro, could realistically aim for a podium finish, although winning it all might be a stretch. France’s best hope? David Gaudu, who’ll also be targeting a top-three finish.
Our pick for the 2025 Giro d’Italia winner: Primož Roglič!
2025 Giro d'Italia Futures
- Primož Roglič +135
- Juan Ayuso +185
- Adam Yates +600
- Michael Storer +1800
- Mikel Landa +2000
- Antonio Tiberi +2000
- Egan Bernal +2900
- Richard Carapaz +3400
- Isaac Del Toro +3400
- Thymen Arensman +3400
- Derek Gee +3400
- Daniel Martínez +4500
- Simon Yates +4500
- Jai Hindley +4500
- Giulio Ciccone +5500
Odds courtesy of FanDuel.
Giro d’Italia 2025: Stage-by-Stage Route Breakdown
The 108th edition of the iconic Giro d’Italia, scheduled from May 9 to June 1, 2025, features two time trials, seven flat stages, and six mountain stages.
This year’s route builds in intensity, promising drama all the way to the final day. The opening week favors strong time trialists and all-rounders, with two time trials and a Strade Bianche-style stage into Siena. Week two caters to sprinters and breakaway specialists, while week three is where the race could be decided, with multiple high-mountain stages and serious elevation gains.
Several key stages stand out. The action begins on May 10 with a tricky time trial in Tirana that will offer the first real shake-up. On May 19, fans can enjoy the white gravel roads in the Strade Bianche-style stage into Siena. For mountain lovers, mark May 27 (Stage 16) for the ascent of the Stelvio, followed by the brutal Mortirolo on May 28. The queen stage comes on May 31 with the ascent of Colle delle Finestre (1st category, 2178m altitude). The race concludes in Rome on June 1, capping off an intense and dramatic edition.
In total, the Giro 2025 will pass through three countries: Albania, Italy, and Slovenia, over 21 stages across three weeks. Riders will cover 3,413.3 km and tackle 52,500 meters of cumulative elevation gain. A varied and demanding route that should make for thrilling predictions and plenty of excitement for cycling fans and bettors alike.
Cycling Bets for Beginners: How Does the Giro d’Italia Work?
The Giro is a cycling race held every spring in Italy. Divided into 21 stages, it features many of the world’s top cyclists competing to win individual stages, wear the iconic pink jersey given to the leader of the general classification, or go for the points classification (for top sprinters) or the mountain classification (for the best climbers).
Over the course of three weeks, cycling fans will have their eyes on some of Italy’s most beautiful landscapes: towering mountains, flatlands, coastlines, rolling hills, and major cities. It’s a route that showcases a wide range of rider skills. At the end of the 21 stages, the rider who finishes with the best overall performance will earn the pink jersey and be crowned the winner of the Giro d’Italia.
How is classification calculated in the Giro d'Italia?
Just like in the Tour de France, the Giro features several classifications, but the most important one is the individual classification. This is the classification that determines which rider gets to wear the pink jersey, and thus, who is the overall winner.
The individual classification is determined by adding up the times each rider takes in the different stages of the race. At the end of the Giro, the rider with the shortest total time is declared the winner of the Giro d’Italia.
In addition to the individual classification, there is also a points classification that awards the cyclamen jersey (for the best sprinter). This classification rewards the rider who finishes most frequently in the top positions at stage finishes or who crosses the line first in intermediate sprints.
There is also the best climber classification, which is awarded the famous blue jersey. This goes to the best rider in the mountain stages. Points are awarded to the riders who reach the top of each climb first, based on the difficulty of the ascent and the order in which riders pass the summit. This jersey typically rewards those who excel in the mountain stages and can break away in solo attacks.
It’s also worth mentioning that in the Giro d’Italia, there is a white jersey, awarded to the best rider under 26 years old in the general classification. A team classification is also established, which sums the times of all riders from each team who have finished the race.
How to Make Winning Picks in the Giro?
To predict the Giro d'Italia like the best bettors, you need to follow certain indicators throughout the race. Here are the main indicators that our cycling experts rely on during each stage of the "pink" race:
- Consider the stage setting
- Consider the weather conditions
- Consider the location of the stage
- Consider the different classifications
- Have accounts with multiple sportsbooks
Consider the stage setting
To correctly predict each stage of the Giro d'Italia, the first thing you need to do is understand the nature of the stage. Don’t get caught up and don’t bet on the best rider on paper: the top riders won’t win every stage of the Giro!
It’s essential to know if the stage is a mountain stage, a flat stage, a hill stage, or even an individual time trial. This will give you a precise indication of which riders are more likely to shine (for example, a sprinter won’t do much in a mountain stage, while they will have an advantage on flat terrain).
Consider the weather conditions
In addition to knowing the nature of the stage, you should also consider the forecasted weather conditions. Is rain expected? Are high temperatures expected? What will the air quality be like if cyclists pass through a city? You need to answer many questions to increase your chances of success in predicting individual stages of the Giro d'Italia.
If a storm or strong winds are predicted, for example, be cautious because accidents could be a possibility, as well as extra caution from the riders who are considered the favorites. In the past, weather has played tricks on various cyclists participating in the Giro d'Italia and, as a result, also on the bettors.
Consider the location of the stage
The third criterion to analyze for predicting a stage as accurately as possible is the location of the race on that day. Here, you should mainly look for historical data. Pay attention not only to local riders (they are from the region, so expect an attack for sure) but also to the performance of each rider in that type of terrain.
You should keep a close eye on a rider who, for example, has won a similar stage in a previous Giro d'Italia or another major race. These data should really be taken into account every day and can make the difference when making a winning bet.
Consider the different classifications
Apart from the overall general classification, which remains the most important and affects only a small group of riders, it’s crucial to always check the points classification, the best climber classification, the best young rider classification, and the team classification. These classifications will systematically provide insight into each rider’s challenges, and, thus, their motivation or need to perform in that day's stage.
For example, if a rider is competing for the blue jersey (best climber), expect them to put up a strong fight if the stage includes several mountain passes. Similarly, sprinters positioned well in the points classification should be closely watched if the stage is flatter. All of them will have a growing desire to succeed.
It’s important to remember that in some stages, the favorites for the overall victory in the Giro d'Italia will mainly try to avoid losing time to their main rivals. Therefore, the riders to watch will be those with the most interest in winning the stage, while the so-called "team leaders" may set their sights on protecting their position and leave the win to riders further down in the general classification.
Having accounts at multiple sportsbooks
Finally, our last piece of advice is crucial, as it can significantly influence your potential winnings when betting on the Giro. Our recommendation is as follows: multiply your registrations at online sports betting sites.
By doing so, you can not only take advantage of welcome bonuses, allowing you to place your first bets without risk, but also benefit from the best odds on the Giro. In fact, by comparing the cycling odds from different operators, you’ll notice the huge difference in some bets.
For example, a podium finish for Romain Bardet may be quoted at +1300 on one site and +1900 on another, which represents a potential gain difference of $60 for a $10 bet. More than in any other sport, comparing odds and being able to bet on the best one allows you to optimize your cycling betting winnings significantly.
Giro d'Italia Predictions: Avoid these mistakes!
To avoid compromising your chances of making accurate predictions for the Giro d'Italia 2025, keep in mind that there are some pitfalls you should avoid when betting on cycling and stage races. According to our cycling experts, here’s what you should not do when betting on the Giro d'Italia:
- Don’t stick to one type of bet in the Giro 2025.
- Don’t bet only on the prestige of a rider.
- Don’t ignore the composition of the cycling teams.
- Don’t neglect to stay updated on cycling news during the Giro d'Italia.
- Don’t bet only on small odds.
- Don’t be tempted by huge odds without conducting prior analysis.
If you avoid these 6 pitfalls and follow the 5 previous tips, you’ll significantly improve your chances of success when betting on the Giro d'Italia. Don’t underestimate the importance of these strategies!
In Conclusion: How to Bet on the Giro d'Italia?
To sum it all up, knowing each stage in detail is important before predicting the outcome of a day at the Giro d'Italia. While the determination of the overall winner depends on certain factors (a complete team, maximum support for riders within the team, experience in the race, etc.), predicting the winner of a stage remains a tricky matter every season of the Giro d'Italia.
For this reason, don’t hesitate for a moment to follow the daily predictions from our cycling specialists. For each stage, they provide their insights and opinions on the potential winner of the day. It will be up to you to take advantage of this, making as many sports bets as possible across various online betting sites. For general sports enthusiasts, we also recommend checking out all our picks for the other sports on the calendar.
Our 2025 Giro d'Italia Picks
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2025 Giro d'Italia : Frequently Asked Questions
You can watch the 2025 Giro d'Italia live on HBO Max with the B/R Sports add-on.
You can also catch key updates and highlights on Peacock and NBC Sports.
