New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
5/8/26 19:30
Connecticut Sun

Prediction:

 

Sun (+10.5) cover the spread

-112
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 by Paul Tamayo | in WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun (0-0) visit the New York Liberty (0-0) in the 2026 WNBA season opener on Friday, May 8, at Barclays Center.

These two teams were on different trajectories last season. The Liberty finished the regular season as the Top 2 team in the Eastern Conference, while the Sun was again a bottom-feeder. The Liberty did lose in the first round of the playoffs, but they're still the far superior team.

New York would want to do better than a first-round postseason exit, but they might have trouble early on. They won't have star guard Sabrina Ionescu and forward Satou Sabally on Friday.

Ionescu, who averaged 18.2 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 5.7 assists last season, is still recovering from an ankle injury. Meanwhile, Sabally is dealing with an illness that will keep her sidelined. The Liberty will surely miss her balanced production of 16.3 points and 5.9 boards.

This means that New York will again rely heavily on their veteran frontcourt stalwart Breanna Stewart. The two-time MVP is coming off her seventh-straight All-Star appearance, having averaged 18.3 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.4 steals, and 1.4 blocks last year. 

Stewart will face off against star center Brittney Griner. The Sun added Griner in free agency to toughen up their frontcourt depth.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
8 New York Liberty
0.542 24 13 11
14 Connecticut Sun
0.25 24 6 18 1

New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
75 :  66
Washington Mystics

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
76 :  84
New York Liberty
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
75 :  66
Washington Mystics

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  63
Washington Mystics

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  91
Chicago Sky

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  75
Minnesota Lynx
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
76 :  84
New York Liberty

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
66 :  58
New York Liberty

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 10, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
72 :  88
Atlanta Dream

Sep 8, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
87 :  62
Connecticut Sun

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  64
Connecticut Sun

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
76 :  93
Atlanta Dream

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  94
Minnesota Lynx
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 10, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
72 :  88
Atlanta Dream

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
76 :  93
Atlanta Dream

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  94
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
67 :  56
Washington Mystics

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
93 :  99
Indiana Fever
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 8, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
87 :  62
Connecticut Sun

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  64
Connecticut Sun

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
95 :  101
Connecticut Sun

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
84 :  94
Connecticut Sun

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  80
Connecticut Sun

New York Liberty against Connecticut Sun : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

67 %

Connecticut Sun

33 %

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  87
New York Liberty

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  62
New York Liberty

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun

Aug 24, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
64 :  72
Connecticut Sun

Jul 16, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
82 :  74
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Picks

Players list

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones B. Laney

M. Johannes

P. Astier

B. Stewart

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
K. Burke B. Griner

S. Rivers

A. Morrow

D. Miller

Substitutes

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
H. Xu

S. Ionescu

J. Vanloo

R. Gardner

A. Griffin

R. Allen

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
O. Nelson-Ododa

C. Leger-Walker

G. Kneepkens

A. Jackson

H. Van Lith

S. Peddy

A. Edwards

R. Beers

New York Liberty - Connecticut Sun Key Points

  1. The Liberty will miss the services of Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally.
  2. The Sun brought in star center Brittney Griner through free agency.
  3. The Sun split their preseason games, 1-1.
  4. Sun forward Aneesah Morrow averaged 14.5 points and 7.5 rebounds during the preseason.

Our New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction

The Sun made a big move during the offseason, bringing in Brittney Griner from free agency. Griner is coming off a career-low season last year, but a change of scenery could boost her performance.

Meanwhile, the Liberty will be without their two injured stars, Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally, on Friday. They're still the favorites with Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones around, but expect a fightback from the Sun. Our prediction for the New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun match is: Sun (+10.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Sun (+10.5) cover the spread

-112
$1000 offered for betting!

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