New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
8/5/25 19:10
Cleveland Guardians

Prediction:

 

Guardians +1.5

-152
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The New York Mets will try to bounce back when they host the Cleveland Guardians after losing in extra innings yesterday, 7-6 F/10. First Pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EST. After heading into the tenth inning with the game tied at 5-5, the Guardians took the lead with a pair of runs in the top half of the inning. The Mets plated one run in the bottom half of the inning but were unable to get a second across to tie the game up again.

New York will turn to Clayton Holmes to start the day on the mound. Holmes is 9-6 this season in 22 starts with a 3.45 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and .247 OBA. He’s pitched well at home, going 4-2 in 10 starts with a 3.49 ERA and a .203 OBA. However, in his last home start (July 19 vs. Reds), he only lasted 5 1/3 innings and gave up six hits, five runs (four earned), and struck out three while walking two. As for Cleveland, the Guardians will hand the ball to Logan Allen to start the day. Allen is 7-9 in 21 appearances with a 4.06 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and .261 OBA. He’s gone 3-2 in nine road starts with a 4.06 ERA and .255 OBA. In his last road start (July 11 vs. White Sox), he pitched six innings, gave up one hit (home run), and two earned runs along with two walks and five strikeouts.


 

New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
10 Cleveland Guardians
0.543 162 88 74
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  12
San Francisco Giants

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
San Francisco Giants

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  0
New York Mets

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
New York Mets
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  12
San Francisco Giants

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
San Francisco Giants

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  3
Los Angeles Angels

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Los Angeles Angels
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  0
New York Mets

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
3 :  5
New York Mets

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  8
New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
10 :  4
Colorado Rockies
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  0
Colorado Rockies

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
10 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  8
Colorado Rockies
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
5 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

New York Mets against Cleveland Guardians : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

0 %

Cleveland Guardians

100 %

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

May 21, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  6
New York Mets

May 20, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  1
New York Mets

New York Mets - Cleveland Guardians Key Points

  1. Guardians are 19-19 when the underdog on the road.
  2. Mets are 34-15 when favored at home.
  3. Holmes has faced the Guardians on 10 occas,ions going back to his time as a reliever for the Yankees; he went 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA; Allen has yet to face the Mets.
  4. Betting Public: 25% of runline tickets and 28% of the handle are on the Guardians.

Our New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

As much as I’d like to think the Mets will bounce back today, I can’t say with confidence that they will. Holmes has been the better pitcher over the course of the season, but has not played nearly as well of late (4.91 ERA in July). Allen, on the other hand, had a 3.52 ERA across five starts in the same month. Both teams hit well yesterday, so I’ve got to think there is a distinct possibility that is the case today, and either team could win a tight one. But I do like the Guardians, so…

Our Guardians vs. Mets Pick: Cleveland +1.5

Prediction:

 

Guardians +1.5

-152
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New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Picks