Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7/7/26 19:40
Cleveland Guardians

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-105
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 by Bill Christy in MLB Picks

The 3-game series between the Minnesota Twins (44-47) and the Cleveland Guardians (47-44) will begin tonight at Target Field. The two AL Central division rivals are currently separated by just 3 games as they are also battling the Chicago White Sox for supremacy in the division.

The Guardians were close to making up all the necessary ground to the White Sox in their previous series, which came against them. They won their 1st two games but fell in the final two and ended with a 2-2 split of the 4-game series. Now, they will get an opportunity to put some space between themselves and these Twins that are creeping up the standings.

Minnesota is 5-2 over their last 7 games and is eager to get this chance to get even close to the top of the division with this series against Cleveland. They took 2 of the last 3 games in their series with the Yankees and were able to hold a tough New York lineup under wraps for the most part. They allowed just 10 total runs over the 3-game set.

Joey Cantillo of the Guardians and Taj Bradley of the Twins are slated to start this opening game of the series. Both starters have looked good lately and are likely to be tough to put up runs on here.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
11 Cleveland Guardians
0.516 91 47 44
18 Minnesota Twins
0.484 91 44 47

Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians Latest Matches

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Minnesota Twins

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  11
Minnesota Twins

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 28, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Jun 27, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  8
Colorado Rockies

Jun 26, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
9 :  8
Colorado Rockies

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  12
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 22, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Los Angeles Dodgers
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Minnesota Twins

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  11
Minnesota Twins

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Jun 29, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  5
Chicago White Sox

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Texas Rangers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  4
Texas Rangers
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 5, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Jul 4, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Jul 3, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Jul 2, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  5
Chicago White Sox

Jul 1, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Texas Rangers

Jun 30, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  4
Texas Rangers
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 24, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  4
Cleveland Guardians

Jun 23, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Jun 22, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
6 :  5
Cleveland Guardians

Jun 21, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

Jun 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Minnesota Twins against Cleveland Guardians : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Twins

50 %

Cleveland Guardians

50 %

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
0 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
0 :  6
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Picks

Minnesota Twins - Cleveland Guardians Key Points

  1. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games against an opponent in the American League Central Division.
  2. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games played on a Tuesday.
  3. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games against Cleveland.
  4. These starters have given up a combined 10 runs over their last 41 innings pitched.

Our Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Taj Bradley has only allowed 5 total runs in his last 3 starts, while Joey Cantillo has been even better over his last 5 starts. Cantillo has held teams to just 5 earned runs over his last stretch of starts and will be primed to keep these Twins from posting big numbers. On the other side, Cleveland is 27th in the league in total runs, which should not get any easier here against Bradley, who has looked solid lately. We like this one to stay under the total in game one of the series.

Our prediction for Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians: Under 8.5

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.