Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Listed as +105 underdogs, the Cincinnati Reds will shoot for their fifth consecutive win in Friday’s series opener against the Washington Nationals.
Current Form:
The Cincinnati Reds are feeling it. They have won their last four games, highlighted by a three-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics. Over the last five games, Cincinnati has averaged 5.5 runs on a .219 clip and posted a solid 3.20 ERA.
Meanwhile, the Washington Nationals are a complete contrast to the Reds. The Nats have lost 9 of their last 11 games, dropping to 56-61 in the season. Washington has averaged 3.7 runs and pitched to a 4.98 ERA over their last 10 assignments.
Starting Pitchers: Nationals RHP Cade Cavalli (8-5, 3.52 ERA) vs. Undecided
The Matchup: The Nats are 7-2 vs. the Reds, but Cincinnati blew them out 15-1 in their last meeting on May 14, 2026.
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Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
0.492 | 120 | 59 | 61 |
|
21
|
0.479 | 117 | 56 | 61 |
Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 6, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 1, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 29, 2026 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 6, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 4, 2026 - MLB
Aug 3, 2026 - MLB
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
Aug 1, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2026 - MLB
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
Aug 4, 2026 - MLB
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
Aug 1, 2026 - MLB
Jul 31, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2026 - MLB
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
Aug 4, 2026 - MLB
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
Aug 1, 2026 - MLB
Jul 31, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 26, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 20, 2026 - MLB
Washington Nationals against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 14, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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May 4, 2025 - MLB
Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- The Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nationals RHP Cade Cavalli surrendered 7 runs over 4.1 innings in his last start vs. the Reds in 2022.
- The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- The Reds are 32-22 in their road games against the spread.
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Our Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Difference Maker: The Reds are on a roll. They have the momentum on their side, and they have the offense (5.5 runs per game over the last 5 games) to keep it deadly against the Nats, whose pitching staff is coughing up a 4.81 ERA over the last five games.
Cade Cavalli has posted a sub-3.00 ERA over his last five outings. However, it’s important to note that he gave up 7 earned runs over 4.1 innings the last time he faced the Reds.
What to Expect: The Reds’ offense stays hot, scoring a few runs against Cavalli before taking advantage of the Nats’ bullpen, which has posted a 4.50 ERA over the last five games.
Fearless Forecast: the Reds 7, the Nats 2
Our betting prediction for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: The Reds will win
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