Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds have won by at least two runs in 3 of their last 5 wins over the Tampa Bay Rays.
by one of the best bullpens (2.23 ERA) in baseball this season, the Reds target another lucrative ATS win (+150 at -1.5 runs) against the Rays in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday.
Momentum: The Cincinnati Reds drew first blood against the Tampa Bay Rays 6-1 in Game 1 to secure their fourth consecutive victory and improve their record to 15-8. The Rays, on the other hand, have lost three of their last four games. Tampa Bay still carries a 12-10 record, but they need to win their next ballgame to avoid plunging below .500.
The Matchup: This is the first and only meeting between the Reds and Rays in a three-game interleague series. Cincinnati already took Game 1, 6-1, as Rhett Lowder surrendered one earned run over six innings and rookie Sal Stewart drove in two runs.
Starting Pitchers: Reds RHP Chase Burns (1-1, 2.42 ERA) vs. Rays LHP Steven Matz (3-0, 3.80 ERA)
Hot on the Board: Bookmakers have not installed a favorite for Game 2 of this series, listing the Reds and the Rays at -110 moneyline. The Reds are +150 on the 1.5-run line, and the Rays are -178 with a +1.5-run advantage on the spread.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.588 | 80 | 47 | 33 |
|
20
|
0.481 | 81 | 39 | 42 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 19, 2026 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 16, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 14, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 20, 2026 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 20, 2026 - MLB
Jul 27, 2025 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
- Cincinnati is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
- Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Reds maintain dominance of the Rays, win Game 2, 8-4
The Edge: The Reds are 4-0 in their last four and 5-2 in their last seven meetings with the Rays. Of these five wins, the Reds won by at least two runs three times, including Monday’s 6-1 win. On Tuesday, Cincinnati will send right-handed pitcher Connor Burns, who posted his second shutout of the year after throwing scoreless innings in a 3-0 win over the San Francisco Giants on April 16. As for Tampa Bay, the Rays will pin their hopes on Steven Matz, who helped the Rays to a win in all four of his starts this season. Cincinnati is only batting .194 with 2.4 runs per game against lefties this season, so interesting how the Reds will score against a dominant lefty like Matz.
The Bet: I am still riding with the Reds for the simple reason that they have won their last four games against the Rays. Also, Cincinnati’s relief pitchers have been terrific this season with a 2.23 ERA, and the bullpen was also very good in Game 1 when it basically shut the door on Tampa Bay down the stretch. I expect the same things to happen on Tuesday, wherein Burns keeps the Rays hitters in check for at least six innings before the relief pitchers take over again and suck the air out of the home team.
Our betting prediction for the Cincinnati Reds vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: The Reds -1.5 Runs
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