Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Seattle Mariners, 6-1 in their last 7 games against the Cincinnati Reds, find themselves in favorable position to cover -1.5 runs in Monday’s series opener at T-Mobile Park.
Current Form:
The Cincinnati Reds came away with a series win over the Colorado Rockies after taking 2 out of 3 games. The Reds have pumped up 5.2 runs per game over their last five games. Unfortunately, their ERA in this five-game stretch has inflated to a dismal 6.34.
Meanwhile, the Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 4 games after losing five games in a row. Seattle’s 3.4 runs per game over the last five games remains mediocre at best. Regardless, they are at least finding ways to win ballgames by banking on their pitching staff, which has posted a rock-solid 3.60 ERA over five games.
Starting Pitchers: Reds LHP Andrew Abbott (5-5, 4.11 ERA) vs. Mariners RHP George Kirby (7-8, 3.11 ERA).
The Matchup: The Mariners have won 6 of their last 7 meetings with the Reds. Seattle also won by two runs or more in each of these victories.
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Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
0.505 | 101 | 51 | 50 |
|
24
|
0.455 | 99 | 45 | 54 |
Seattle Mariners and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 19, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 19, 2026 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 12, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 19, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 12, 2026 - MLB
Jul 11, 2026 - MLB
Jul 10, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 19, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 2, 2026 - MLB
Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
Jun 30, 2026 - MLB
Seattle Mariners against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Feb 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Apr 17, 2025 - MLB
Apr 16, 2025 - MLB
Apr 15, 2025 - MLB
Apr 15, 2024 - MLB
Seattle Mariners - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against Seattle.
- Cincinnati is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
- Seattle is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home.
- Seattle is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
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Our Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Difference Maker: George Kirby has commanded a 3.09 ERA over his last five games. In his first meeting against the Reds, Kirby surrendered two runs over six innings in a 9-3 win on April 15, 2024.
Reds’ Abbott has lost his last three starts. In his last five outings, Abbott has posted a 4.62 ERA.
The Mariners average 6.1 runs per game against lefty pitchers over the last five games. The Reds are not bad either, scoring 5.5 runs per game against lefties.
What to Expect: A high-scoring series opener could take place on Monday. These two teams have been torching left-handed pitchers recently, so fans can expect fireworks throughout the match.
The Mariners are still projected to cover -1.5 runs mainly because they have a bullpen that can foil any Reds’ comeback attempt. Seattle’s relief pitchers have sported a 3.56 ERA this season.
Fearless Forecast: The Mariners 7, Reds 5
Our betting prediction for the Cincinnati Reds vs. the Seattle Mariners: The Mariners -1.5 Runs
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