Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy in MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds (38-42) kicked off their weekend series in Pittsburgh with a win over the Pirates (41-41) last night. After taking an early 4-1 lead, the Reds allowed the Pirates to come back and tie things up as they headed into the 8th inning. Noelvi Marte broke the tie with a 2-run home run that was ultimately the difference. Caleb Ferguson was able to close things out in the 9th and picked up his 1st save of the season.
Before the win, the Reds had been swept at home by the Milwaukee Brewers. They lost by a total of just 4 runs, so it was encouraging that they were able to close the door on the Pirates last night after giving up the lead.
Pittsburgh had been playing good ball before the loss. They had won 3 of their last 4 and had posted 24 runs total in those 3 wins. They were not able to put up enough runs last night and will be tested tonight against a strong pitcher from the Reds.
Chase Burns is that strong pitcher for the Reds. He is 9-1 on the year and has an impressive 2.00 ERA. He has only allowed more than 2 runs once this season, and that came back in early April.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
0.494 | 83 | 41 | 42 |
|
20
|
0.481 | 81 | 39 | 42 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Pittsburgh Pirates against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Jun 26, 2026 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- Pittsburgh is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Cincinnati is 3-0 SU in its last 3 games where Chase Burns started.
- Chase Burns is 9-1 SU this season.
- Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Chase Burns has been a man on a mission this season. He should be able to keep the Reds in striking distance during his time on the mound tonight. The Reds should also be able to get after the Pirates starter, Jared Jones. He is only 1-1 on the season and his 5.75 ERA is nothing to write home about. He has only gone past 4 innings once this season and the Reds should be able to put enough up here to get Burns his 10th win of the season.
Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds: Cincinnati to win
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.