Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
With the over trending for both teams over the last five games, the over/under 8 runs is looking like a solid play for Game 2 between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Momentum: The Cincinnati Reds are 2-3 in their last five games, losing to the Pittsburgh Pirates 1-9 in the series opener. The Pirates snapped a five-game losing streak with the win on Friday. Cincinnati sits atop the NL Central with a 20-11 record, while Pittsburgh is dead last at 16-16.
The Matchup: The Pirates have won their last three meetings with the Reds and five of their last seven games. Over the last five games, Cincinnati has pitched a 7.16 ERA and averaged 4.0 runs per game. The Pirates have produced 5.5 runs per game and posted a 6.00 ERA over their last five matches.
Starting Pitchers: Reds RHP Rhett Lowder (3-1, 3.18 ERA) vs. Pirates RHP Carmen Mlodzinski (1-2, 4.13 ERA).
Lowder allowed two earned runs over five innings in a 3-8 loss to Detroit on April 26. The last time Lowder faced the Pirates, he threw five scoreless innings in a 7-1 win over Pittsburgh on Sept. 21, 2024. Mlodzinski have given up 9 runs over 7.3 innings in two starts. Last year, Mlodzinski gave up four earned runs over 4.1 innings in a 0-4 loss to Cincinnati.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
0.494 | 83 | 41 | 42 |
|
20
|
0.481 | 81 | 39 | 42 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 1, 2026 - MLB
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 1, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 1, 2026 - MLB
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 25, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
Apr 28, 2026 - MLB
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 24, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 1, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 18, 2026 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 1, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Back the Over 8.0 runs. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 6 games and 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games. These teams have averaged a combined 8.0 runs per game over the last three head-to-head meetings. The Reds and the Pirates have also breached the 6.00 ERA territory over their last five games. Cincinnati has posted a 7.16 ERA and the Pirates have pitched a 6.00 ERA over this stretch. This is going to be another high-scoring game with either or both teams scoring at least 7 runs.
Our betting prediction for the Cincinnati Reds vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates: Over 8 runs.Caesars Rewards Program
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