Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8/9/25 18:40
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

Pittsburgh Pirates win both halves

-102
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

Saturday’s matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park presents two teams heading in different directions in the standings, but both with something to prove. The Reds, now 60-57 after a narrow 3-2 loss on Friday, are clinging to hopes of staying in the NL Central race.

They sit in third place behind the Cubs and Brewers, but their recent slump — three straight losses while scoring just three total runs — is putting pressure on their playoff aspirations. After this series, they’ll return home to face a tough Philadelphia Phillies squad, making this game an important opportunity to regain momentum.

The Pirates, on the other hand, have long been out of postseason contention, sitting last in the NL Central at 51-66. Despite that, they’ve embraced the spoiler role and have been competitive lately, winning three of their last five games.

They opened the series Thursday with a dominant 7-0 shutout over Cincinnati and followed it up with Friday’s victory, building confidence in their ability to frustrate division rivals. While they won’t be chasing a playoff berth, they’re clearly motivated to disrupt the standings for others.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Cincinnati Reds
0.512 162 83 79
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  8
San Francisco Giants

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
5 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  8
San Francisco Giants

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  0
Arizona Diamondbacks
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
5 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
17 :  16
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Atlanta Braves
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jul 31, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
11 :  12
Atlanta Braves

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Pittsburgh Pirates against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

Cincinnati Reds

50 %

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Apr 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Apr 11, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The Pirates are 14-0 in their last 14 home games vs. teams with a winning record
  2. The Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 night games vs. NL teams after a road loss
  3. The Pirates are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games vs. teams with a winning record
  4. The Reds are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 night games vs. NL teams after a road loss

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Cincinnati will turn to Nick Martinez on the mound. The right-hander enters at 9-9 with a 4.66 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Historically, he’s fared well against Pittsburgh, posting a 1-1 record with a sharp 1.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career versus the Pirates.

However, his road numbers tell a different story — over 60.2 innings away from home, Martinez has allowed a 4.90 ERA and a .294 opponent batting average, showing he’s been hittable when pitching in hostile environments.

Pittsburgh counters with Braxton Ashcraft, a reliever making a spot start. Ashcraft has been solid in limited action this year, going 3-2 with a 3.24 ERA and 28 strikeouts. This will be his first career appearance against the Reds. While he’s had a couple of shaky outings recently, allowing runs in his last 4.1 innings, he was dominant in the five appearances before that, recording four scoreless outings. His ERA and WHIP (1.38) are both better than Martinez’s seasonal numbers, giving the Pirates a fighting chance if their bullpen can back him up.

For Cincinnati, the key will be reigniting their offense, which has gone cold at the worst possible time. For Pittsburgh, the challenge lies in containing a lineup that can explode if given the chance. Given the Reds’ current slump and Ashcraft’s potential to surprise in his first look against them, the Pirates have a real shot to extend their mini-run.

The Reds’ turnaround will come eventually — but the momentum heading into Saturday leans toward the home team. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: Pirates to win.

Prediction:

 

Pittsburgh Pirates win both halves

-102
$350 offered for betting!

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Picks