Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7/5/25 16:05
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Runs

-101
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds will resume their weekend series on Saturday with the home team eyeing to bounce back at Citizens Ball Park.

The Phillies dropped Friday’s series opener to the Reds after blowing an early 3-0 lead. Jesus Luzardo faltered in his latest mound duty, conceding five runs in 2.0 innings. Despite a forgettable pitching performance, Philadelphia still owns a solid 3.20 ERA in their last five games. Philadelphia also averages 4.4 runs per game on a .287 BA in the five-game stretch.

The Reds have won their second straight game behind another productive night from their batting unit. Tyler Stephenson and Elly De La Cruz each drove 2 runs each to lead Cincinnati’s offense on Friday. Starter Andrew Abbott allowed four runs in 3.1 innings pitches but reliever Tony Santillan came to the rescue, striking out Alec Bohn with the bases loaded in the 8th inning.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Philadelphia Phillies
0.593 162 96 66
13 Cincinnati Reds
0.512 162 83 79

Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
San Diego Padres

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  0
San Diego Padres

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  2
New York Mets
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  13
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  6
San Diego Padres
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  7
New York Yankees

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  1
New York Yankees

Jun 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
Minnesota Twins
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Philadelphia Phillies against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

Cincinnati Reds

50 %

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Apr 25, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 23, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 22, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 2, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games.
  2. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games on the road.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Why should you bet on the UNDER 8.1 Runs? (Win $100 on a $101 Bet) – Since Nick Lodolo (4.86 ERA in the last 5 starts) will be going head-to-head with Ranger Suarez (1.26 ERA in the last 5 starts), the likelihood of a low-scoring affair in Game 2 has increased significantly, mainly because of the reputation of these two outstanding starters carry. Lodolo surrendered 3 earned runs in 5.0 innings the last time he faced the Phillies on April 12, 2024. Suarez did better as he blanked the Reds for 7.0 innings in a 7-0 win. Moreover, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games and 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 against an opponent in the National League.

Our betting prediction for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: Under 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Runs

-101
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Picks