New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 5/27/26, 4:09 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 5/30/26 at 3:47 PM in MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds will enter Game 3 as unlikely +100 underdogs against the Mets, who can’t even average more than two runs over their last five games.

Momentum: The Reds have won their last three games, including back-to-back 7-2 wins over the New York Mets. Cincinnati holds the third spot in the NL Central with a 29-25 record.

The Mets have dropped their last five games. During this stretch, New York has averaged 1.2 runs per game and pitched a 5.10 ERA. The Mets are dead last in the NL East with a 22-33 slate.

Matchup: The Reds have come out on top in the last three meetings with the Mets. Cincinnati is also 7-3 in its last 10 games against New York, averaging 4.50 runs per game while surrendering 2.8 runs per contest.

Hot on the Board: The Reds, who will start Andrew Abbott (4-2, 3.97 ERA), will enter Game 3 as +100 moneyline underdogs at Caesars Sportsbook. This makes Cincinnati an attractive pick for bettors looking for more bang for their buck.

at -120 moneyline, the Mets opt to start relief pitcher Huascar Brazoban (1.73 ERA) in Game 3. New York has a 3-1 record in Brazoban’s last four mound appearances.

After pegging the total at 7.5 runs for Games 1 and 2, Caesars Sportsbook bumped up the over/under for Game 3 to 8.0 runs following a pair of 7-2 wins by the Reds.