New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/20/25 13:40
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-122
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets are set to conclude their current series in a matchup that features two playoff contenders heading in opposite directions. The Reds, one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, have surged into the National League playoff picture with an impressive 6-1 record over their last seven games. That run includes back-to-back wins against both the Colorado Rockies and these very Mets, who are struggling mightily to keep pace in the National League East.

Cincinnati enters the day with a 52-47 record, sitting 7.5 games back of the division-leading Cubs in the NL Central. However, they’re just 1.5 games behind the Padres for the final National League Wild Card spot, making every game down the stretch critical. The Reds have won four in a row, and their recent surge has been driven by timely hitting and improved pitching. Their momentum makes them a dangerous opponent, even against more established rosters.

The Mets, meanwhile, are facing serious midseason turbulence. After Saturday’s 5-2 loss to the Reds, New York has now dropped three straight games and 20 of their last 30 overall. While they still hold a 55-44 record — good for second in the NL East — the gap between them and the division-leading Phillies has grown to 1.5 games. Despite a strong start to the season, the Mets' recent offensive woes are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Cincinnati Reds
0.512 162 83 79
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  3
New York Mets
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  0
Miami Marlins
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  0
Miami Marlins

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  12
Miami Marlins
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

New York Mets against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

33 %

Cincinnati Reds

67 %

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 7, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  6
New York Mets

New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The Mets are 46-48 ATS this season
  2. The Reds are 49-44 ATS this season
  3. The Over is 42-52 for the Mets this season
  4. The Over is 41-49-3 for the Reds this season

Our New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Today’s pitching matchup features two left-handers who have been pitching well of late. New York will start David Peterson, a 29-year-old southpaw who has quietly put together one of the league’s better statistical seasons. With a 3.06 ERA  and a 1.32 ERA across his last two starts, Peterson has emerged as a reliable force on the mound. In his last outing, he silenced the Orioles, giving up just one run on four hits across seven innings.

Cincinnati counters with 26-year-old Andrew Abbott, who is coming off a strong performance of his own. In a win over Miami, Abbott went 7.2 innings, allowing just one run and striking out five. Like Peterson, he’s been a dependable arm for his club and will be tasked with keeping the Mets’ lineup in check.

Statistically, neither offense has been explosive of late. Over the past two weeks, the Mets rank just 21st in weighted on-base average (.303) and 19th in isolated power (.158). The Reds are only slightly better, ranking 20th in wOBA (.304) and 14th in ISO (.171). With both teams struggling to generate consistent power, today’s game projects as a low-scoring affair.

Despite Cincinnati’s current hot streak, the pitching edge goes to New York, thanks to Peterson’s recent form and season-long consistency. If the Mets can scrape together just enough offense, they’re in good shape to avoid a sweep and end their losing streak with a much-needed win. Our prediction for the New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: Mets win a low-scoring affair.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-122
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New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Picks