New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/19/25 16:10
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-118
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets are set for game two of their weekend series, with both teams firmly entrenched in the National League playoff conversation. On Friday, the Reds came out swinging, taking an 8-4 win in the opener and gaining crucial ground in the Wild Card race. Cincinnati has picked up momentum in recent weeks and now sits just 2.5 games behind the third and final NL Wild Card spot. A strong showing against the Mets could help them inch closer to postseason contention.

For the Mets, Friday’s loss was a disappointing start to the second half of the season. New York finished the first half inconsistently, dropping three of their last five games, including a series finale against the Royals in Kansas City.

Despite the stumble, they remain in second place in the National League East, trying to keep pace with the division-leading Philadelphia Phillies. With plenty of games left on the calendar, the Mets are still within striking distance but will need to tighten up in key matchups like this one.

Today marks the second of six meetings between the Reds and Mets this season, and both clubs are hoping to set the tone early in the series.

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Cincinnati Reds
0.512 162 83 79
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  1
New York Mets
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  1
New York Mets

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  7
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  0
Miami Marlins

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  2
Miami Marlins
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  0
Miami Marlins

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  12
Miami Marlins
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

New York Mets against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

50 %

Cincinnati Reds

50 %

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 7, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  6
New York Mets

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
New York Mets

New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The Mets are 46-47 ATS this season
  2. The Reds are 48-44-0 ATS this season
  3. The Over is 44-51-3 for the Mets this season
  4. The over is 40-53-5 for the Reds this season

Our New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

On the mound, Cincinnati will send right-hander Nick Martinez to the hill. Martinez has had a rollercoaster of a season, going 7-9 over 21 appearances, including eight quality starts.

While he's shown flashes of effectiveness, he’s struggled on the road, posting a 2-5 record and an ERA nearing 5.00 in away games. The Reds will need a solid outing from Martinez to fend off a Mets offense that’s beginning to get healthier and more experienced with several veteran hitters returning to the lineup.

The Mets will counter with right-hander Clay Holmes, who has been one of their more dependable starters this year. Holmes enters the game with an 8-4 record through 19 starts and a respectable 3.16 ERA at home. He’s been particularly strong at Citi Field, going 4-1 on the year when pitching in front of the home crowd. That home field advantage could be a difference-maker, especially against a Reds team that has hovered below .500 on the road, with a 22-25 away record entering today.

With both teams eyeing the playoffs, every game counts, and today’s matchup could have ripple effects in the National League standings. Our prediction for NY Mets for Cincinnati Reds: Mets to win.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-118
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New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Picks