Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5/17/26 13:40
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs.

-153
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 by Stephen Abiola | in MLB Picks

Cleveland Guardians (25-22) and Cincinnati Reds (24-22) will clash for the third time on Sunday evening at Progressive Field. The Guardians will have their eyes set on taking this series after recovering from a 6-7 defeat on Friday night to win 7-4 on Saturday. Angel Martinez has an excellent outing, hitting a go-ahead, 2-run homer in the seventh inning to lift the Guardians past the Reds. They’re the -175 betting favorites today.

Cincinnati Reds, meanwhile, have shown that they can be a huge threat in this series after crossing the plate 10 times. They’ll be disappointed with last night’s results after their bullpen allowed 5 runs in the last three innings to hand the hosts a win. It was a rollercoaster night that saw them throw a 4-2 lead. The good news for them is that Chris Paddack made his debut, working through five innings.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 Cleveland Guardians
0.554 65 36 29
16 Cincinnati Reds
0.492 63 31 32

Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Los Angeles Angels

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Los Angeles Angels

May 11, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  2
Los Angeles Angels

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Los Angeles Angels

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  2
Los Angeles Angels

May 11, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  2
Los Angeles Angels

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
7 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
6 :  14
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
15 :  1
Washington Nationals

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  8
Washington Nationals

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  10
Washington Nationals

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  0
Houston Astros
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 14, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
15 :  1
Washington Nationals

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  8
Washington Nationals

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  10
Washington Nationals

May 10, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  0
Houston Astros

May 9, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  1
Houston Astros

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  10
Houston Astros
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

Cleveland Guardians

83 %

Cincinnati Reds

17 %

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
7 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  8
Cleveland Guardians

Feb 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 11, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
11 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The Guardians are 4-1 in their last five matches.
  2. The Guardians are 4-1 in their last five home games.
  3. The total runs went over 7.5 in the last five Cincinnati Reds matches.
  4. The total runs went over 7.5 in the last four Cincinnati Reds away games.

Our Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Backing the Guardians on the moneyline offers a decent value. They look very comfortable playing at home this season, which shows with their 14-10 record. The Guardians will come into this contest in a more reliable pitching position, sending Gavin Williams into the bump. The right-handed pitcher has a solid 5-3 record this season with a 3.74 ERA. Cincinnati will counter that with Brandy Singer, who is 2-3 this season with a 5.79 ERA. He could struggle against Cleveland’s offense, which has been consistently scoring runs this season. However, the visitors remain dangerous on offense and can seize control of the game if they start strongly. Still, we think the Guardians will get the win.

Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds: Over 7.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5 runs.

-153
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Picks