Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Miami Dolphins
12/21/25 13:00
Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction:

 

Over 47.5

-113
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Miami Dolphins enter their Week 16 matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals with a 6–8 record, having stabilized their season after a disastrous opening stretch. Miami began the year with six losses in their first seven games, frequently falling behind early and struggling to close out competitive contests.

Since mid-November, however, their overall results have improved. The Dolphins put together a four-game winning streak that included both home and road victories, showing more consistency in game management and fewer breakdowns in key moments. Even in losses since that run, Miami has remained competitive for longer stretches, avoiding the blowout defeats that plagued them earlier in the season.

Cincinnati arrives with a 4–10 record and far less positive momentum. After starting the season 2–0, the Bengals endured a prolonged slump, losing 10 of their last 12 games. Several of those defeats were decisive, with Cincinnati frequently trailing by multiple scores before halftime.

Defensive lapses have been a recurring theme, particularly against balanced offenses, while the team has struggled to string together full four-quarter performances. Recent results have offered little encouragement, including a shutout loss and multiple double-digit defeats, leaving Cincinnati near the bottom of the AFC standings as the season winds down.

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Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
22 Miami Dolphins
0.412 17 7 10
23 Cincinnati Bengals
0.353 17 6 11

Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals Latest Matches

Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 15, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
28 :  15
Miami Dolphins

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
16 :  13
Washington Commanders

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
30 :  13
Buffalo Bills

Oct 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
6 :  28
Baltimore Ravens
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
16 :  13
Washington Commanders

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
30 :  13
Buffalo Bills

Oct 30, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
6 :  28
Baltimore Ravens

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  29
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  21
New York Jets
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 15, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
28 :  15
Miami Dolphins

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
31 :  6
Miami Dolphins

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
27 :  24
Miami Dolphins

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  21
Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
0 :  24
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
39 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
14 :  32
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
20 :  26
New England Patriots

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
34 :  12
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
42 :  47
Chicago Bears
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
0 :  24
Baltimore Ravens

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
20 :  26
New England Patriots

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
42 :  47
Chicago Bears

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
38 :  39
New York Jets

Oct 16, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
33 :  31
Pittsburgh Steelers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
24 :  37
Detroit Lions
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
39 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
14 :  32
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
34 :  12
Cincinnati Bengals

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
27 :  18
Cincinnati Bengals

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  3
Cincinnati Bengals

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
48 :  10
Cincinnati Bengals

Miami Dolphins - Cincinnati Bengals Key Points

  1. The Over is 7-0 in Dolphins’ last 7 games at Hard Rock Stadium after a road loss
  2. The Over is 5-0 in the Bengals’ last 5 road games without Tanner Hudson
  3. The Dolphins are 5-1 in their last 6 December games as home underdogs
  4. The Bengals are 0-7 in their last 7 games when playing with a rest advantage
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Our Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

Miami’s offensive production has become more reliable due to strong individual contributions in both the running and passing game. De’Von Achane has emerged as a consistent rushing threat, providing explosive plays and efficiency that keep defenses honest. In the passing game, Jaylen Waddle has taken on a larger role, offering speed and route precision that stretches coverage and creates scoring opportunities. With Tyreek Hill limited, Waddle’s ability to produce consistently has been especially important. Quarterback play has been steady rather than spectacular, but Miami’s skill players have done enough to maintain offensive balance.

Cincinnati continues to rely heavily on its top receiving options. Ja’Marr Chase remains the centerpiece of the offense, producing strong numbers despite inconsistent quarterback play and defensive attention. However, the absence of Joe Burrow for much of the season has limited Cincinnati’s offensive ceiling, and the unit has struggled to sustain drives against disciplined defenses.

Miami appears better positioned to control this matchup. Their offense is more balanced, and their recent form suggests greater stability. Cincinnati’s path to victory depends on explosive plays and forcing turnovers. If Miami avoids mistakes, they should have the edge, with a narrow Dolphins win being the most probable outcome. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Over 47.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 47.5

-113
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Picks