Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks - NFL
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by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks
The Miami Dolphins enter their Week 16 matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals with a 6–8 record, having stabilized their season after a disastrous opening stretch. Miami began the year with six losses in their first seven games, frequently falling behind early and struggling to close out competitive contests.
Since mid-November, however, their overall results have improved. The Dolphins put together a four-game winning streak that included both home and road victories, showing more consistency in game management and fewer breakdowns in key moments. Even in losses since that run, Miami has remained competitive for longer stretches, avoiding the blowout defeats that plagued them earlier in the season.
Cincinnati arrives with a 4–10 record and far less positive momentum. After starting the season 2–0, the Bengals endured a prolonged slump, losing 10 of their last 12 games. Several of those defeats were decisive, with Cincinnati frequently trailing by multiple scores before halftime.
Defensive lapses have been a recurring theme, particularly against balanced offenses, while the team has struggled to string together full four-quarter performances. Recent results have offered little encouragement, including a shutout loss and multiple double-digit defeats, leaving Cincinnati near the bottom of the AFC standings as the season winds down.
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Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
22
|
0.4 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
|
24
|
0.333 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins Latest Matches
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Cincinnati Bengals - Miami Dolphins Key Points
- The Over is 7-0 in Dolphins’ last 7 games at Hard Rock Stadium after a road loss
- The Over is 5-0 in the Bengals’ last 5 road games without Tanner Hudson
- The Dolphins are 5-1 in their last 6 December games as home underdogs
- The Bengals are 0-7 in their last 7 games when playing with a rest advantage
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Our Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
Miami’s offensive production has become more reliable due to strong individual contributions in both the running and passing game. De’Von Achane has emerged as a consistent rushing threat, providing explosive plays and efficiency that keep defenses honest. In the passing game, Jaylen Waddle has taken on a larger role, offering speed and route precision that stretches coverage and creates scoring opportunities. With Tyreek Hill limited, Waddle’s ability to produce consistently has been especially important. Quarterback play has been steady rather than spectacular, but Miami’s skill players have done enough to maintain offensive balance.
Cincinnati continues to rely heavily on its top receiving options. Ja’Marr Chase remains the centerpiece of the offense, producing strong numbers despite inconsistent quarterback play and defensive attention. However, the absence of Joe Burrow for much of the season has limited Cincinnati’s offensive ceiling, and the unit has struggled to sustain drives against disciplined defenses.
Miami appears better positioned to control this matchup. Their offense is more balanced, and their recent form suggests greater stability. Cincinnati’s path to victory depends on explosive plays and forcing turnovers. If Miami avoids mistakes, they should have the edge, with a narrow Dolphins win being the most probable outcome. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Over 47.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.