USA vs China Prediction & Picks - Women's World Cup

World - Women's World Cup

USA
9/4/26 08:15
China

Prediction:

 

China (+29.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo | in Women's World Cup Picks

United States of America takes on China (3-4) in a FIBA Women's World Cup game on Thursday, September 4, at Max-Schemeling-Halle in Berlin, Germany.

Team USA has won all 15 of its official FIBA games against China, including two double-digit victories back in 2022. In their most recent game, the Americans emerged victorious with an 83-61 win, led by A'ja Wilson's 19 points and Kelsey Plum's 17.

However, those two top scorers have been sidelined in this year's World Cup. Wilson withdrew for health reasons, while Plum is still recovering from a lower leg injury. Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron, both playing for the Washington Mystics in the WNBA, were added as replacements.

Still, this USA team is a very formidable one. Their roster is nothing short of star talent, led by the likes of Breanna Stewart, Napheesa Collier, Caitlin Clark, and Paige Bueckers. 

The Stewart-and-Clark connection will be exciting to watch. Stewart, a two-time WNBA Most Valuable Player, is averaging 20.4 points and 8.1 rebounds this season. Clark, who is an offensive dynamo, is putting up 22.5 points and 8.4 assists. 

As for China, they pin their hopes on the 6-foot-9 Xu Han, who is Stewart's teammate in the New York Liberty.

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USA vs China Form

USA and China Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Puerto Rico
48 :  91
USA

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
110 :  46
Senegal

Jul 6, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
84 :  92
USA
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
110 :  46
Senegal

Jul 5, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
65 :  53
Canada

Jul 4, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
110 :  44
Dominican Republic

Jul 2, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
104 :  48
Mexico

Jun 29, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
80 :  43
Colombia
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Puerto Rico
48 :  91
USA

Jul 6, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
84 :  92
USA

Jun 30, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Puerto Rico
62 :  80
USA

Jun 28, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Chile
47 :  108
USA
China
China Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Italy
88 :  76
China

Aug 12, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

China
77 :  88
Nigeria

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

China
83 :  71
Brazil

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Czechia
74 :  84
China

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

China
86 :  76
South Sudan

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Belgium
80 :  65
China
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 12, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

China
77 :  88
Nigeria

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

China
83 :  71
Brazil

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

China
86 :  76
South Sudan

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

China
81 :  68
Mali

Jul 20, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

China
101 :  66
Republic Of Korea

Jul 19, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

China
81 :  90
Japan
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Italy
88 :  76
China

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Czechia
74 :  84
China

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Belgium
80 :  65
China

Jul 15, 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Republic Of Korea
69 :  91
China

Jul 28, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Spain
90 :  89
China

Oct 3, 2023 - Asian Games, Women, Group X

Korea DPR
44 :  100
China

USA against China : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

100 %

China

0 %

Oct 1, 2022 - Women's World Cup

China
61 :  83
USA

Sep 24, 2022 - Women's World Cup

USA
77 :  63
China
USA vs China Picks

USA - China Key Points

  1. USA is missing the services of A'ja Wilson and Kelsey Plum.
  2. USA has only won their last two games against China by an average margin of 18 points.
  3. China is led by the 6-foot-9 Xu Han.
  4. China is positioned sixth in the FIBA World Cup power rankings.
Up to $350 to bet on USA - China! 

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Our USA vs China Prediction

USA is still the team to beat in this year's FIBA Women's World Cup, but they will surely miss the services of A'ja Wilson and Kelsey Plum. Wilson and Plum begged off due to health reasons, stripping the team of two capable scorers.

They're still the favorites on Thursday, but China might keep this game interesting. They have the 6-foot-9 Xu Han to rely on. Our prediction for the USA vs China match is: China (+29.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

China (+29.5) cover the spread

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.