Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Chicago Sky
8/21/25 19:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Over 164.5

-104
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 by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks

New York Liberty take on Chicago Sky today, and New York Liberty enter this game as Eastern Conference frontrunners. Last season they finished atop the East and have continued their strong play into 2025. Liberty were 22-13, having only lost 11 conference matches, and they have dominated opponents in score by a significant difference as well. They are led in scoring by point guard Sabrina Ionescu, who contributes approximately 19 points per contest, and center Jonquel Jones, who contributes around 15-16 points as well as strong rebounding.

New York was 5-5 in the last 10 (through mid-August) but still tops the East and owns 86.4 points per game on offense and is one of the highest-scoring teams in that category. They also boast depth: veteran Betnijah Laney and Courtney Vandersloot (when healthy) can fill the stat sheet. However, they have recent injury concerns – star forward Breanna Stewart is sidelined with a leg injury – which may impact their roster rotation. Still, the Liberty play at home and have won both season meetings against Chicago so far (by comfortable margins, e.g. 85-66 in June).

Chicago Sky, in contrast, are struggling mightily. The Sky are at the bottom of the Eastern Conference with a record as poor as 8-26. They have dropped nine of their last ten games, averaging only 71.9 points in that stretch while allowing 84.9. Their young roster is still searching for consistency.

Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.629 35 22 13 1
5
Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky
0.235 34 8 26 -5

Chicago Sky and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
94 :  88
Chicago Sky

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
90 :  59
Chicago Sky

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
62 :  71
Connecticut Sun

Aug 9, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
70 :  92
Indiana Fever

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  65
Chicago Sky

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
64 :  78
Chicago Sky
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
94 :  88
Chicago Sky

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
90 :  59
Chicago Sky

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  65
Chicago Sky

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
64 :  78
Chicago Sky

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  67
Chicago Sky

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
73 :  66
Chicago Sky
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
62 :  71
Connecticut Sun

Aug 9, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
70 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  103
Washington Mystics

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
68 :  91
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 8, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
79 :  81
Washington Mystics

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
75 :  80
Minnesota Lynx
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
105 :  97
L.a. Sparks

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  77
Dallas Wings
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  85
New York Liberty

Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
101 :  99
New York Liberty

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
84 :  98
New York Liberty
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
105 :  97
L.a. Sparks

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  77
Dallas Wings

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
87 :  78
Connecticut Sun

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
62 :  78
Connecticut Sun

Chicago Sky against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Chicago Sky

17 %

New York Liberty

83 %

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
66 :  85
New York Liberty

May 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
99 :  74
Chicago Sky

Jul 13, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  67
Chicago Sky

Jul 11, 2024 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
76 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 4, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  75
Chicago Sky

May 23, 2024 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
90 :  81
New York Liberty

Chicago Sky - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The Sky are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. The Liberty are2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in the Sky's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 1-3 and 1 push in the Liberty's last 5 games

Our Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Prediction

The Sky rely on star Angel Reese, a dominant forward who is averaging double-doubles (around 14 points and 12 rebounds per game) and is among the league’s leading rebounders. They also have veteran sharpshooter Kahleah Copper (2021 Finals MVP), but she has had an up-and-down season.

Key guard Courtney Vandersloot, who often orchestrates Chicago’s offense, is out for the season with an ACL injury, which leaves a void. Other contributors include Rachel Banham, who has been a reliable outside shooter. Chicago’s defense has been porous (opponents shooting over 42%), so their main hope is to keep pace in transition and hope their shooters catch fire.

It’s clear the Liberty are formidable at home and Chicago is in a slump. For New York, Ionescu and Jones are performing as expected – Ionescu’s leadership and shooting will be critical, while Jones will control the paint.

Chicago’s Reese will be a force on the boards, but the Sky lack inside help and the firepower of New York’s balanced attack. For the second half, New York’s bench (players like Tina Charles or Sabrina Erivo, depending on lineup) can step up if needed, whereas Chicago’s depth is less consistent.

Ultimately, this matchup strongly favors the Liberty. New York’s superior offense and home-court edge should overwhelm Chicago’s struggling defense. The neutral prediction is a Liberty victory by a comfortable margin, as they look to maintain their unbeaten mark this season against the Sky. It’s likely to be a high-scoring game for New York, with Chicago fighting hard on Reese’s and Copper’s efforts, but New York should win handily. Our prediction for New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: Over 164.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 164.5

-104
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Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Picks