San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
4/29/26 16:10
Chicago Cubs

Prediction:

 

Over 9

-105
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 by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks

It has been a high-scoring series so far between the San Diego Padres (19-10) and the Chicago Cubs (18-12). Each team has taken one game thus far and the series will be decided this evening.

Game one of the series was an exciting back-and-forth fight that ended with the Padres on top with a 9-7 victory. 9 of those 16 runs came in the 1st three innings of the game. In game two, it was a close game until the 7th inning when the Cubs broke things open with a 4-run inning that gave them the 8-3 lead, which they never squandered.

Tonight, there are likely to be more runs scored than the oddsmakers anticipate once again. Jameson Tailon and his 4.55 ERA will be on the mound for the Cubs, while Matt Waldron will bring his disastrous 12.46 ERA for the Padres. Tailon is coming off a start against the Dodgers in which he allowed 4 runs in 5 innings. Waldron is coming off his 2nd straight start, where he allowed 6 runs. This time was against Colorado, where he also walked 3 batters in just 5 innings of work.

If either lineup can get to these pitchers that have struggled early in the season, the over will be in serious jeopardy early in this game. While one could have a strong outing, it is unlikely that both will.

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San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 Chicago Cubs
0.542 83 45 38
8 San Diego Padres
0.531 81 43 38

San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  10
San Diego Padres

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Apr 21, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  1
San Diego Padres
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Apr 16, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  6
Seattle Mariners

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  1
Seattle Mariners

Apr 12, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Apr 11, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  5
Colorado Rockies
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
12 :  7
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
4 :  6
San Diego Padres

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  10
San Diego Padres

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Apr 21, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  1
San Diego Padres

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
1 :  2
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
6 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Apr 24, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 22, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 21, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 20, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  1
New York Mets

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  2
New York Mets
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
6 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Apr 24, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Apr 15, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  11
Chicago Cubs

Apr 14, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  10
Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

50 %

Chicago Cubs

50 %

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Mar 6, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

San Diego Padres
3 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Feb 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Chicago Cubs
6 :  5
San Diego Padres

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  1
San Diego Padres

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  3
San Diego Padres

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  1
San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago Cubs’ last 8 games.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago Cubs’ last 12 games on the road.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games at home.
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Our San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Matt Waldron has looked abysmal this season, and you would think that would make the Cubs a decent favorite despite being on the road here. However, that is not the case. This game is nearly a pick on the money line, which we believe bodes well for the over. If San Diego is going to stay close here, it is likely going to be with giving Waldron a good amount of run support. We like the over here for the rubber match of the series.

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs: Over 9

Prediction:

 

Over 9

-105
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San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Picks