Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-50, 27-24 Home) will host the Chicago Cubs in a three-game weekend series starting with Game 1 today at PNC Park. First Pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.
Division rivals, the Cubs and Pirates, have already faced off seven times this season. Pittsburgh won the series in Chicago, 2-1, but the two teams split the four-game series in Pittsburgh in late May.
Pittsburgh is scheduled to send Jared Jones to the mound to start the day. Jones is 2-1 in nine starts with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. He has had four starts at home but has yet to factor into a decision at PNC Park. But he has a 4.74 ERA pitching at home and a .200 OBA. In his last home start, he pitched six shutout innings against the Braves, but the Pirates ultimately lost the game, 3-0.
As for the Cubbies, Chicago is scheduled to start Matthew Boyd. He has gone 6-1 in ten starts with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Boyd has done some of his better work on the road, where he is 2-0 in four starts with a 3.86 ERA and a .256 OBA.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.58 | 119 | 69 | 50 |
|
20
|
0.483 | 120 | 58 | 62 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches
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Pittsburgh Pirates against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- The Pirates lead the all-time series vs. the Cubs, 1321-1290-17.
- The Cubs are 25-25 ATS (run line) this season on the road; Pittsburgh is 26-25 ATS (run line) at home.
- The OVER is 26-23-1 for the Cubs on the road and 34-17 for the Pirates at home.
- Betting Public: 54% of moneyline tickets and 63% of the handle are on the Cubs.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
On the surface, it looks like no one has a pitching advantage since the stats are pretty similar between the two starting pitchers. However, Boyd has progressed to the point where he has been able to go 6+ innings in his last three starts; the team went undefeated in those starts. Jones has allowed two runs and five hits across his last three starts but lasted 4-6 innings. Even if he has a good outing, the bullpen is not great (4.42 ERA; 22nd in the league). Chicago has hit a solid .266 since the break to Pittsburgh’s .229. They’ll win the game, but I wouldn’t count on them to cover the run line.
Our Chicago vs. Pittsburgh Pick: Cubs ML
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