Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs look to sustain their winning form as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies for the first time this season. The Cubs (+158) have won 3 of their last 5, while the home favorites, the Phillies (-190), have lost four of their last five.
Momentum: After losing the first two games to the Pittsburgh Pirates, the Chicago Cubs avoided a sweep after hacking out a 7-6 win behind Carson Kelly’s run-driving single in the 9th inning. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies have lost four of their last five games following Sunday’s 3-4 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3. The loss plunged the Phillies below .500 at 7-8.
Matchup: This will be the first meeting between the two NL powerhouses. Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against the Chicago Cubs. They are also 4-1 in their last five games vs. the Cubs.
Starters: Cubs RHP Javier Assad (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will go head-to-head with Phillies LHP Christopher Sanchez (1-1, 1.65 ERA)
Batters to Watch: Cubs second baseman Nico Hoerner is batting .316 with one homer and 10 RBIs. Bryce Harper recorded an RBI for the third consecutive game in the 3-4 loss to the D-Backs on April 13. Harper is batting .273 with three homers and 10 RBIs.
Hot on the Board: The Cubs are +158 road underdogs and -135 on the +1.5 run line. The Phillies, -190 moneyline favorites, are valued at +115 on -1.5 run line. The total is over/under 8.0 runs.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.554 | 83 | 46 | 37 |
|
7
|
0.542 | 83 | 45 | 38 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches
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3/6 (50%)
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Philadelphia Phillies against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
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Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- Chicago Cubs is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road.
- Chicago Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Philadelphia.
- Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games played in April.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Cubs win on the road 4-2 vs. the Phillies
Sharp Play: The Cubs will win. I am counting on Javier Assad to dazzle anew on the mound after throwing 5.2 scoreless innings in the Cubs' 9-2 win over Tampa Bay on April 7. Assad allowed 8 runs the last time he pitched against the Phillies on Sept. 25, 2024, but if he pitches as well as he did in his previous start, then there’s no reason to be worried.
The Cubs have posted a 2.87 ERA and averaged 4.9 runs per game over their last five games, while the Phillies have given up a 3.77 ERA and averaged 2.3 runs per game over their last five games. Phillies starter Christopher Sanchez yielded two runs and 11 hits over five innings in a 0-6 loss to the San Franscisco Giants in his last start, which is alarming for any Phillies fan.
Our betting prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: The Cubs will win.
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