New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 6/25/26, 10:34 AM  by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

Averaging roughly 10 runs per game over their last five assignments, the Chicago Cubs eye a fourth consecutive blowout win over the New York Mets.

The Cubs are a tantalizing +158 to cover -1.5 runs.

Current Form:

The New York Mets have lost their last five games and seven of their last 10 games. Poor pitching continues to be a major issue for the Mets, who allowed the Chicago Cubs to score 29 runs across three games. Over the last five games, the Mets have posted a 9.21 ERA and yielded 2.2 home runs per contest.

Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs have not only won their last three games against the Mets, but they also improved to 6-3 in their last 9 games. Chicago’s offense is on fire over the last five games, averaging 10.4 runs per game on a .293 batting average.

Starting Pitchers:

Cubs LHP Matthew Boyd (2-1, 6.00 ERA): Boyd will be making his first start since he gave up two earned runs over six innings in an 8-4 win over Arizona last May 3.

Mets RHP Freddy Peralta (5-6, 4.83 ERA): Peralta surrendered 10 earned runs over 2.2 innings in a 3-15 blowout loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. This leaves Peralta with a bloated ERA of 8.14 ERA over his last five starts.

The Matchup: The Cubs are in complete control of the series. They have won 7 of their last 10 meetings, including the last 6 faceoffs.