New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
6/22/26 19:10
Chicago Cubs

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Total Runs

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

To begin the new week on Monday, a 13-game MLB slate is scheduled, which will include a National League matchup between the New York Mets and the Chicago Cubs. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mets and the Cubs.

Chicago enters this game with a record of 40-37 and is currently in third place in the NL Central division. To begin this series with the Mets, the Cubs are set to start Shota Imanaga, who has a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 4.26. Shota has been serviceable on the road this season, but often gives up a handful of runs, making a higher-scoring game more likely.

As for New York, they continue to sit towards the bottom of the league, and as a result, are currently in last place in the NL East division. For Game 1 of this series, the Mets are scheduled to start Kodai Senga, who has a record of 0-5 and an ERA of 9.00. To further stress his struggles, Senga has been awful when pitching at home, which more than gives the Cubs’ offense the chance to take advantage.

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New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Chicago Cubs
0.519 77 40 37
24 New York Mets
0.447 76 34 42

New York Mets and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
15 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
New York Mets

Jun 17, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  9
New York Mets

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 15, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
12 :  0
New York Mets

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  1
Atlanta Braves
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Jun 11, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  9
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
15 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  6
New York Mets

Jun 17, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  9
New York Mets

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  3
New York Mets

Jun 15, 2026 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
12 :  0
New York Mets

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  7
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 19, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
16 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 17, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  5
Colorado Rockies

Jun 15, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  1
Chicago Cubs
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 20, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 19, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
16 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 17, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  6
Colorado Rockies

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  5
Colorado Rockies

Jun 15, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  2
San Francisco Giants
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
5 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
1 :  5
Chicago Cubs

Jun 11, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  9
Chicago Cubs

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
7 :  3
Chicago Cubs

New York Mets against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

33 %

Chicago Cubs

67 %

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  1
New York Mets

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  2
New York Mets

Apr 17, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
12 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
10 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  9
New York Mets

New York Mets - Chicago Cubs Key Points

  1. Shota Imanaga has an ERA of 4.26 this season
  2. Shota Imanaga has an ERA of 3.48 on the road this season
  3. Kodai Senga has an ERA of 9.00 this season
  4. Kodai Senga has an ERA of 18.00 at home this season
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Our New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Cubs are the slight favorite in this game; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. The main reason for this goes back to the home/away splits for the starting pitchers. Imanaga has made a total of six away starts this season, having allowed 14 runs (13 earned) over 33.2 innings. Senga, on the other hand, has made just two home starts this season, but has allowed 10 earned runs over 5.0 innings.

It is true that neither team's offense has been consistent this season, but given that both starting pitchers have had their fair share of struggles, our New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs prediction is: Over 8.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Total Runs

-110
$200 offered for betting!

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New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Picks