New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
5/9/25 19:10
Chicago Cubs

Prediction:

 

Mets -1.5 Runs

+140
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Chicago Cubs, two teams leading their respective division right now, clash for the first time this season on Friday at Citi Field.

The Mets are only 2-3 in their last five games, but they are fresh off a resounding 7-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday. New York boasts the best ERA in baseball (2.89 ERA) on top of having a top-10 offense. The Mets rank 10th in the MLB in both batting average (.249) and total runs (141), while parading a top-10 slugging percentage (.420) and on-base percentage (.331).

The Cubs have lost 3 of their last 4 games since winning 3 in a row. Chicago remains on top of the NL Central Division with a 22-16 record, 3 full games ahead of the 19-19 St. Louis Cardinals. Chicago’s pitching numbers (3.95 ERA and 1.31 WHIP) are mid by league standards, but their offense are running like a well-oiled machine that has already produced a league-leading 223 total runs this season.

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New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 Chicago Cubs
0.568 162 92 70
14 New York Mets
0.512 162 83 79

New York Mets and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 2, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  9
New York Mets

May 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 28, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  19
New York Mets

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  7
New York Mets

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  2
New York Mets

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
New York Mets
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 1, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  0
St. Louis Cardinals
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 2, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
3 :  9
New York Mets

Apr 28, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  19
New York Mets

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
8 :  7
New York Mets

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  2
New York Mets

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
New York Mets

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  14
San Francisco Giants

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  0
Chicago Cubs

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  6
Chicago Cubs

May 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  10
Chicago Cubs

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  8
Chicago Cubs

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  14
San Francisco Giants

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
11 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 4, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  0
Chicago Cubs

May 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  6
Chicago Cubs

May 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
0 :  10
Chicago Cubs

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  8
Chicago Cubs

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  9
Chicago Cubs

New York Mets against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

50 %

Chicago Cubs

50 %

Jun 23, 2024 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  5
New York Mets

Jun 22, 2024 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  1
New York Mets

Jun 21, 2024 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  11
New York Mets

Sep 13, 2022 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  4
Chicago Cubs

New York Mets - Chicago Cubs Key Points

  1. Chicago Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against NY Mets.
  2. Chicago Cubs is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road.
  3. NY Mets is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games.
  4. NY Mets is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home.
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Our New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Mets have beaten the Cubs 4 in their last 6 meetings, 3 of which were won by at least two runs. Mets will be starting Clay Holmes (2.96 ERA), who has led them to a victory in his last five starts. Holmes will be dueling with Cubs starter James Taillon (2.76 ERA), who is 3-0 in his last three starts vs. the Mets. I wouldn’t be surprised if we got a low-scoring series opener on Friday since we have two strong pitchers duking it out on the mound. However, I still like the Mets’ chance of beating the Cubs at home by at least two points. The Mets play much better at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game and pitching a staggering 2.30 ERA at Citi Field. The Cubs are not a bad road team (12-7). It is just that the Mets are dominant at home (13-3 at Citi Field) this season. Our betting prediction for the New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: Mets -1.5 Runs

Prediction:

 

Mets -1.5 Runs

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New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Picks