Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Minnesota Twins
7/10/25 13:10
Chicago Cubs

Prediction:

 

The Cubs will cover -1.5 Runs

+123
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

After a phenomenal pitching display in the first two games, the Minnesota Twins eye a sweep in Thursday’s series finale with the Chicago Cubs at Target Field.

The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games, including back-to-back wins over NL Central’s No.1 team, improving their record to 45-47. Minnesota sits at No.3 in the American League Central but the window is still open for them to ascend in their division, if they can sustain their terrific form on the mound. Over the last five games, Minnesota has pitched an outstanding 3.13 ERA and only allowed an average of 0.4 opponents homers per game in the stretch. Offense has also been terrific for Minnesota, who puts up an average of 5.8 runs per game over their last 5 assignments.

The Cubs have absorbed 3 losses in their last four games, dropping to 54-38 in the season. Chicago are now just 1.5 games ahead of the 53-40 Milwaukee Brewers in the standing, putting them in danger of conceding the top spot in the NL Central with another loss to the Twins on Thursday. The Cubs hasn’t established consistently strong pitching in the last five games, during which their ERA has risen to 4.81 – significantly higher than their 3.85 ERA in the season.

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Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 Chicago Cubs
0.568 162 92 70
27 Minnesota Twins
0.432 162 70 92

Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  1
Minnesota Twins
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  11
Seattle Mariners
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  1
Minnesota Twins

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
Minnesota Twins

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  0
Minnesota Twins

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
10 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  4
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
11 :  0
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  8
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
11 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  0
Cleveland Guardians
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
11 :  0
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  8
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
11 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
1 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  4
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  2
Cleveland Guardians
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  12
Chicago Cubs

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  4
Chicago Cubs

Jun 7, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
1 :  6
Chicago Cubs

Minnesota Twins against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Twins

67 %

Chicago Cubs

33 %

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  2
Chicago Cubs

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Aug 7, 2024 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  2
Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins - Chicago Cubs Key Points

  1. Chicago Cubs is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Minnesota.
  2. Chicago Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
  3. Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago Cubs.
  4. Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Up to $250 to bet on Minnesota Twins - Chicago Cubs! 

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Our Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Why should you pick the Cubs to cover the 1.5 runs handicap (Win $123 on a $100 Bet) – Minnesota has won 7 of their last 10 meetings with the Cubs. The Twins also covered the spread in 6 of those wins, including Wednesday’s 4-2 victory. However, the Twins could be precarious with Chris Paddack starting on Thursday.

Paddack has been posting erratic numbers in his last 5 starts (2-3, 7.99 ERA), which makes him vulnerable to a Cubs offense that continues to be potent despite their pitching woes at 6.5 runs per game over the last five games. In addition, Chicago will send one of their most consistent starters, Collin Rea, to the mound on Thursday. Rea has powered the Cubs to victory in 4 of his last 5 starts, carrying a 5.27 ERA.

Our betting prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs. the Minnesota Twins: the Cubs will cover -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Cubs will cover -1.5 Runs

+123
$250 offered for betting!

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Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Picks