Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs will turn to Clay Holmes, who has posted a 1.55 ERA over his last five starts, to help them complete a sweep over the Miami Marlins on Sunday.
The Cubs are a hot pick at +113 to cover -1.5 runs.
Current Form:
The Miami Marlins have lost their last three games, including Games 1 (1-6) and 2 (5-6) against the Cubs. After giving up 6 runs in back-to-back games, the Marlins’ ERA over the last five games jumped to 5.73.
The Chicago Cubs have won their last 3 games to stay in the No.2 spot in the NL Central with an 81-62 record, 7 games behind the 88-55 Milwaukee Brewers. Over the last five games, the Cubs have averaged 4.7 runs and sported a 5.00 ERA.
Starting Pitchers: Marlins RHP Tyler Phillips (4-6, 3.43 ERA) vs. Cubs RHP Clay Holmes (6-6, 2.09 ERA).
The Matchup: The Cubs have won their last 4 games against the Marlins, winning by two or more runs in 3 of those games.
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Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
|
15
|
0.494 | 162 | 80 | 82 |
Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 5, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 5, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 3, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 5, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 31, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 3, 2026 - MLB
Sep 2, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 5, 2026 - MLB
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Miami Marlins against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Sep 5, 2026 - MLB
Sep 4, 2026 - MLB
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Miami Marlins - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- The Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- The Marlins are 33-39 in their road games against the spread
- The Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- The Cubs are 38-32 in their road games against the spread
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Our Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
The Difference Maker: Clay Holmes is going to play a big role in the Cubs’ bid to sweep the Marlins in this series. The starter has blanked the last two opponents he faced: Milwaukee (0 runs over 6.0 innings) and Arizona (0 runs over 7.0 innings). In his last start against the Marlins on September 27, 2025, Holmes pitched five scoreless innings to help his former team, the NY Mets, win 5-0.
What to Expect: Holmes outduels Miami’s Tyler Phillips to help the Cubs complete a three-game sweep. This match has the potential to become a defensive battle given the caliber of the starting pitchers. Still, their head-to-head dominance and Holmes’ pitching brilliance give Chicago the upper hand in this game.
Fearless Forecast: The Cubs 4, The Marlins 1
Our betting prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs. the Miami Marlins: The Cubs -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
