Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB
USA - MLB
Prediction:
UNDER 9
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs will try to keep the good times rolling today when they take on the Reds in Cincinnati at Great American Ball Park. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. EST.
With yesterday’s win over the Reds, the Cubs have won six of their last seven, and they’ve done so with a mix of good pitching and the best lineup over the last week. They’ve been hitting .335 over the last week with 42 runs scored across five games. But the pitching staff has been doing its part as well, giving up just 18 runs (3.63 ERA). As for Cincinnati, the Reds have now lost three in a row. The pitching staff did not do a bad job in the prior two losses (both to Pittsburgh), holding the Pirates to three runs in one game and just one in the other. But with almost no help at all from the lineup, they lost two winnable games.
However, the stage is set for the Reds to pull off the upset. Andrew Abbott is scheduled to start for Cincinnati. Abbot is 3-0 in seven starts with a 1.80 ERA, but it gets better. When pitching at home, he has a .90 ERA and has gone 2-0 (four starts). But Cubs starter Colin Rea will not make it easy. Rea has a 3-0 record in seven starts with a 2.08 ERA—but it gets better. Away from home, he is 1-0 in two starts (with a save; he’s played in four games) with a 2.08 ERA.
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.568 | 162 | 92 | 70 |
|
13
|
0.512 | 162 | 83 | 79 |
Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 15, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 8, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 15, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 8, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 17, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
Apr 25, 2025 - MLB
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
Cincinnati Reds against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jul 31, 2024 - MLB
Jul 30, 2024 - MLB
Jul 29, 2024 - MLB
Jun 7, 2024 - MLB
Jun 1, 2024 - MLB
Feb 27, 2024 - MLB Spring Training
Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- The Cubs hold the all-time series lead over the Reds 1209-1186-22.
- Chicago has won four of the last five vs. the Reds, but is 2-7 in the last nine games in Cincinnati.
- Chicago is 16-10 on the road this season; Cincinnati is 13-13 at home.
- Betting Splits: 31% of moneyline tickets are on the Reds, while 85% of run line tickets are on the Cubs.
Our Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
As well as the Cubs' offense has been clicking, it doesn’t look good for them today. Why? Because Abbott is almost untouchable at home, giving up just 13 hits (.183 BA) across four starts and two earned runs. I wouldn’t expect him to shut the Cubs down, but he’ll certainly slow them down a lot. The Reds have been hitting .257 over the last week and finding it hard to score runs (17 in five games). Looking at those numbers, I’d expect the Reds to win a low-scoring game. I like the Reds ML, but the total is a better bet.
Our Cubs vs. Reds Pick: UNDER 9
Prediction:
UNDER 9
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.