Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox (87-74, 41-39 Home) will look to end the regular season at home in style with a sweep of the Chicago Cubs (88-73, 42-38 Away). This game was originally scheduled for Saturday but was postponed to today and moved to Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL, due to inclement weather.
First Pitch is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. EST, with coverage provided by MLB.TV.
Predicting the outcome of this game is a bit more challenging than usual because we do not have some pretty important information. Neither team has announced who will start the game on the mound. Both teams are already locked into their postseason matchup. The Red Sox will face the Yankees in the Wild Card round, and the Cubs are taking on the Padres. Consequently, I wouldn’t expect either team to put its best foot forward with a starter, or if they opt for a bullpen day.
A bullpen day would definitely benefit the Red Sox, whose bullpen has the lowest ERA in baseball this season at 2.99. It has a cumulative WHIP of 1.17, and teams have hit .224 against the Boston pen. As for the Cubs, Chicago’s bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and teams have hit .242 against it this season.
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Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
|
9
|
0.537 | 162 | 87 | 75 |
Boston Red Sox and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches
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Boston Red Sox against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
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Boston Red Sox - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- Boston went 10-13 in games after a day off this season; Chicago went 9-11.
- Boston went 12-11 ATS (run line) after a day off; Chicago went 6-14 ATS (run line).
- The OVER went 8-15 for Boston after a day off and 11-9 for the Cubs.
- Betting Public: 34% of moneyline tickets and 74% of the handle are on Boston.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
I can’t see any reason for the public to back the Cubs as much as it is (66% of moneyline bets, 65% of run line bets, and 78% of the handle). It’s not like the Cubs need the win more than Boston; neither team actually needs it. Both teams have been lackluster at the plate in this series, but the Red Sox have done enough to find a way to win both games. Because of that and since the Red Sox are +106 to win at home, I’m backing Boston for this game.
Our Chicago vs. Boston Pick: Red Sox ML
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
